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Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Max_OK, Citizen Scientist

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If I could forecast cycles, I would be filthy rich. If you believe you can, take your skills to the stock market.

I’m not sure you think we can’t gave have both cycles and AGW, but if you do you are wrong.


Comment on Climate blogosphere discussion II by Jim D

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Thanks, Danny, Happy New Year.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Mike Jonas

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Judith – best wishes for 2015. Thank you for your excellent blog, and while I hope it doesn’t go much longer (!because you and others succeed in convincing the MSM and politicians that we don’t know how climate works) I suspect that your input will be needed for several more years.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Max_OK, Citizen Scientist

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Curious George said on December 31, 2014 at 3:36 pm |
“Max, you are venturing into a dangerous terrain. Let me paraphrase your approach: Why do I think Max lacks any intellect? Because my search of the Internet on Max_OK intellect failed to come up with any positive results.”
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Curious, you didn’t use my full name in your search. Google “Max_OK, Citizen Scientist” and you will get positive results.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by R. Gates

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Mike & Pokerguy,

Thanks for that. I’m not going away completely in 2015 (sorry Rob & Don), but I do make a promise not to be in the top 10 posters next year. My being in the 2014 top 5 hits home the point this has become an addictive outlet for me (since most the people in bars really don’t want to talk about sea ice and paleoclimate proxies!), and probably has left other areas of my life a bit unbalanced. When I do make the occasional post in 2015, I will make sure it is something of substance and worthy content.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Joshua

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Al –

==> “You count individual comments”

Don’t have to. My browser (Chrome) has a nifty feather were if you type something into the search text box, it tells you how many times that item appears in the page (include the vertical bar at the end if you want to make sure that you’re only counting comments that someone made as opposed to replies to that person).

==> “Doesn’t that strike you as just a bit over the edge?”

Yeah, it is a bit. But most of what goes on here is (probably more than) a bit over the edge.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Joshua

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Hi Don. How ya’ doing?

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Rob Ellison

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My goal for 2015 is to accomplish the goals of 2014 which I should have done in 2013 because I made a promise in 2012 after planning it in 2011.

Yay – didn’t make the top 5.


Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Max_OK, Citizen Scientist

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Tony, my favorite TV quiz show, Jeopardy, requires answers to give both the name and the number for the monarch. If the monarch is far back in history, the only answer I ever get right is Henry VIII.

Happy New Year to you too. Keep warm. Don’t drive.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Joshua

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oops. feature….where… really need to stop drinking so early.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by climatereason

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Rgates

I am astonished you are in the top 5 as you seemed to disappear (without permission) for several months.

Perhaps you were busy preparing to attend the Heartland Conference? Or researching our restaurant and the menu options (don’t forget I am a vegetarian)

happy New year

tonyb

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Joshua

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Top 5 most active commenters for 2014:

Jim D
Kim
jim2
R. Gates
Steve Mosher

Interesting breakdown. 2 “realists.” 2 “skeptics.”

And God.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by AK

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@Bob Ludwick…

So, asking the question another way. Postulating a total mass of the solar power satellite collector/downlink complex at around 50 kilotons and using whatever thruster technology you are aware of, how much energy and how much reaction mass would it take to keep the solar cells illuminated 24/7/365 while ensuring that the satellite remained in position to provide 24/7/365 power to the grid from a fixed ground station?

I answered the question for the reference design I proposed. If you want the answer for some other design, scale it up or do the calculations yourself.

I know it’s supposedly against the rules to question others’ motives, so I won’t accuse you of trying to hijack/divert the discussion with irrelevant arm-waving. I’m sure it’s simply because, not having followed the design requirements path I did, you don’t understand why you can’t just divert a discussion of 10-Kg powersats with some completely irrelevant demands for calculations WRT a different design.

The 10-kg mass requirement actually grew out of the need for a reasonable-sized laser focusing mirror (~3 meters) which did not take up an unreasonable fraction of the total mass, while otherwise minimizing the mass of the whole, so that cheap prototype systems could be created and launched. Assuming 100g/M^2, such a mirror would mass about a kilogram, 1/10 the total. Assuming a similar ratio for the total collection area, we’re talking 100 square meters for the total satellite, with a mass of 10 Kilogram.

Then, given the power requirements, we’re talking about a huge swarm of such tiny satellites, which has its own advantages and disadvantages (e.g. keeping one powersat’s station-keeping ion beam from damaging any others, etc.).

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Max_OK, Citizen Scientist

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Well, I’m glad to see I have experts here if I need tax advice, but I think I will continue to rely on a tax professional.

Re Rob Ellison January 1, 2015 at 5:49 am
” Tell me which university did you attend – Maxy – and what did you study? Have we finished high school yet/\. Don’t tell me that you are a drop out.”
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I’m self-taught.
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Re David in TX January 1, 2015 at 11:18 am
“So Maxy, did you acquire by investment your royalty producing property?”
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Inherited it.
Uh oh, am I in trouble on depletion allowances ?
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David in TX | January 1, 2015 at 11:32 am |
“So here’s the deal Maxy, in terms you might understand.

Your depletion allowance is not a subsidy. It’s depreciation of a capital investment. Like if I buy a house and rent it out I can take a depreciation deduction on it using a schedule provided by the tax authority. If I buy it and live in it instead so as I’m not using to produce income then I can’t take a depreciation deduction.”
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WRONG ! Depletion allowances and depreciation reduce tax revenues. Deductions for expenses such as mortgage interest reduce tax revenues. Tax credits reduce tax revenues. All are subsidies because all reduce tax revenues.

Yes, you can depreciation from the price paid for the rental property (not including land). If you sell the property at a gain, you will be subject to depreciation recapture, which can mean your depreciation was just an interest free loan which you now repay. Similarly, depletion recapture applies to capital gains on sales of mineral rights.
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jim2 January 1, 2015 at 11:34 am
Max doesn’t know anything about the oil and gas business, nor does he know anything about tax law and subsidies.
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jim2 probably knows more about the oil and gas business than most here,
but he’s also obsessed and wildly optimistic about the business, while I’m more down to earth. He also seems to fear renewable resources, which is odd as it contradicts his sunny outlook on the future for oil and gas. I see jim2 as both a fossil fuel Pollyanna and a fossil fuel Luddite, but mostly as just a fossil.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by ordvic

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Josh, you should of said a chart would do ;-):


Comment on 2014 → 2015 by Max_OK, Citizen Scientist

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John Carpenter | January 1, 2015 at 9:48 am |
Max_OK, so am I right to believe that for you, challenging ideas is a nuisance in general?
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If nothing comes of the challenge, yes, it’s a nuisance and a waste of time for everyone concerned.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by jim2

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Justin – I apologize and withdraw my comment to you. I also am a fan of Friedman and Hayek also. HNY, fellow traveler!

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by JustinWonder

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What happens? Check memory usage/availability.

I use a tablet also, an iPad, and mine crashes even when trying to view the blog when the posts get old and the threads really long. For me, that’s ok because fish, guests, and blog posts stink after three days. :)

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by jim2

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Really, Max, I am more of a simpleton than you think. I simply want cheap energy. I am perfectly happy to burn cheap coal and to let oil and gas contribute whatever it can. I think nuclear can be much cheaper than it is now so I’m for it also. I’m not for expensive wind and solar which will be even more expensive due to the need for storage and additional distribution infrastructure due to remote locations. Simple.

Comment on 2014 → 2015 by JustinWonder

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“…how much and how long…”

…and how troublesome.

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