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Comment on Nuclear power discussion thread by DocMartyn

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“The central metaphor of these four chapters is that human beings are 90 percent chimp and 10 percent bee. Human nature was produced by natural selection working at two levels simultaneously. Individuals compete with individuals within every group, and we are the descendants of primates who excelled at that competition.”

No we are not. You want to know about a primate, check out the sperm count and testicle size.
Our closes relative is the highly promiscuous bonobo, Sperm count correlates with female willingness to sleep around, Bonobos score highest, followed by the Chimp, then humans, then the Orangutang and finally the Gorilla. Humans are closer to orangutangs in social structure. We do not compete in social groups but co-operate. We like to be teams; look at team sports, our co-operate structures are seen on the turf, we like to be in groups of 10-15. In small groups we aid the young, the old and the sick.
The ‘village idiot’ is a classical example of how wrong you are. People with mental handicaps or mental disorders were not killed as a waste of food, instead they were accepted as people and had a place in society. There are neolithic skeletons of people who have suffered massive injuries, yet been nurse back to health. The Neanderthal Shanidar Cave has poor Shanidar 1, he had a healed crushing fracture to his left orbit which would blinded the eye, a withered right arm which had been fractured/healed in places and with forearm and hand amputated. He also had deformities in his lower legs and foot and would have a painful limp and be unable to walk.
This 45 year old man cannot have done very much in the way of work, but he lived.
How many disabled chimps you seen in the wild Josh?
You have a really low opinion of your species, very common on the left. .


Comment on Nuclear power discussion thread by hunter

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Steven,
If Gavin thought the HS was worth a flip he would trumpet it from roof tops.
He knows it is crap so he pretends it is no big deal.
He fibs.
The HS is like the shroud: evidence of the faith.
The faith is that we are in a climate crisis right now.
The HS gives a sciencey veneer to that faith based axiom.

Comment on Nuclear power discussion thread by hunter

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Think of hot molten corrosive NaCl and how to keep it from eating up everything that tries to contain it. If thorium was the slam dunk we all wish it was, it would be happening NOW. The idea has certainly been around a long, long time.

Comment on Nuclear power discussion thread by hunter

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Gwenyth,
Bunk.
We are not close to a tipping point in ocean pH.
The paper you refer to is deceptive.

Comment on Week in review 3/16/12 by Brian H

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Whoa! Too high a hurdle, to start with. Let’s see if he can achieve that 1%, first!

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by Bart R

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Des da Moaner | March 24, 2012 at 5:21 am |

Asked.
Answered (http://judithcurry.com/2012/03/22/nrcs-artless-untruths-on-climate-change-and-food-security/#comment-187704).
Read harder.

Flatly, there is nothing more corrupt in the US government in particular or government in general than any business taking a subsidy.

If they need the hand out, they’re not a business but a charity. If you don’t understand this about capitalism, read harder.

If you don’t see the connection between petrochemicals and climate, read harder.

If you think you can produce something better than capitalism, more efficient than free market capitalism, by tax and spend conservatism and the old “cheap energy” lie, read harder.

(One of my favorite riddles: what boasts like a libertarian when its got no change of getting into office, campaigns like a fiscally conservative republican while trying to get elected, and spends your money like a drunken sailor on shore leave when in office?)

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by Bart R

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Randomly and ill-distributed warm has no moral quality nor predictable benefit.

Artificially elevated CO2 is plant steroid.

You like your plants like you like your athletes, kim?

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by Brian H

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Do not go gentle into that green light blight.
FIFY.


Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by Brian H

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Blew the tags.

Do not go gentle into that green light blight.
FIFY.

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by Bart R

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Craig Loehle | March 22, 2012 at 8:54 pm |

Try it this way: suppose the equally likely case in Chicago of five 85 degree days forcing buds on every plant in the city.

Followed immediately by a single commonplace Chicago killer frost.

What do botanists say about this?

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by kim

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Marvelously integrated by the great analog computer, the heat engine that is the earth, the heat will distribute to good effect, as in a naturally trained athlete, poised. The anthro component of CO2 is the gift of Gaia to her cachectic plant kingdom through the predictably miraculous agency of that oddly advanced featherless biped.
================

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by Bart R

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Craig Loehle | March 22, 2012 at 9:01 pm |

A greenhouse isn’t a great representation of a farm. You can control for all conditions — great for an experimental simulation, terrible for reflecting actuality. It introduces regularity and moderation, which bias the sample.

Now, the _field_ tests that show the same results, those are somewhat better.

Except for the little difficulty of so many of the field tests get no cooperation from the weather, and experimental growers aren’t generally farmers so use different techniques and assumptions.

But sure, the NAS disagree with your foregone conclusion, so must be simply stupid.

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by kim

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by GaryM

Comment on On the adjustments to the HadSST3 data set by Greg Goodman

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Bart,
the point about doing filtering as late a possible is it’s good practice for the reason stated. Since R-M is a straight sum operation it likely does not matter if you do it before or after in this case.

The problem is that of using running mean as a filter. It is that which produces the variations in the plot that change shape as you change the filter period. Either you get a wrong result and differentiate or you differentiate and get the wrong result later. As you demonstrate it’s the same wrong result’.

If you want to try a filter that does not let large lumps stop band frequencies get past it you could try the following awk script.

#!/bin/awk -f

# pass input through 3 sigma gaussian filter where sigma, if not given, is 2 data points wide
# usage : ./gauss.awk filename
# optional scale_factor simply scales the output
# sigma can be compared to the period of the -3dB point of the filter
# result is centred, ie not shift. dataset shortened by half window each end
# data must be continuous and equally spaced

# jan2011 , up to 8.6f for month precision consistency and better FFT

BEGIN{ OFMT = “%8.6f”
# ARGV[1]=filename; argv[0] is script name, hence ARGC>=1
pi= 3.14159265359811668006

if ( ARGC >3 ) {scaleby=ARGV[3];ARGV[3]=”"} else {scaleby=1};
if ( ARGC >2 ) {sigma=ARGV[2];ARGV[2]=”"} else {sigma=2};

print “filtering “ARGV[1]” with gaussian of sigma= “,sigma
root2pi_sigma=sqrt(2*pi)*sigma;
two_sig_sqr=2.0*sigma*sigma;

gw=3*sigma-1; # gauss is approx zero at 3 sigma, use 3 sig window
# eg. window=2*gw-1 – 5 pts for sigma=1; 11pts for sig=2; 3 sig=17

# calculate normalised gaussian coeffs
for (tot_wt=j=0;j<=gw;j++) {tot_wt+=gwt[-j]=gwt[j]=exp(-j*j/two_sig_sqr)/ root2pi_sigma};
tot_wt=2*tot_wt-gwt[0];
tot_wt/=scaleby;
for (j=-gw;jgsfile;
ln=-1;
}

{
xdata[++ln]=$1;
ydata[ln]=$2;

if (ln>2*gw)
{
gauss=0
for (j=-2*gw;j> gsfile;
}
else
{
# print $1,$2;

}
}

END {
print “#gaussian window width = “gw+gw+1″,done”
print “#output file = “gsfile

}

[/sourcecode]


Comment on Nuclear power discussion thread by blouis79

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Numerous badly performed scientific experiments on coral have been published as part of the cargo-cult confirmation-biased science in defence of AGW .

I understand from my friend that the coral pH experiments have not been conducted under properly biological conditions. Under correct conditions, symbiotic coral algae eat CO2 for lunch and love it.

Comment on On the adjustments to the HadSST3 data set by Jim2

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Greg Goodman | March 24, 2012 at 12:12 pm |

Doesn’t a simple 12 month average work as a filter, averaged over the 12 months of a single year? It eliminates seasonal variation, but does not introduce distortion to the shape of the annual curve as does a 12 month running mean?

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by Bart R

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Erica | March 24, 2012 at 5:51 am |

Let’s try this back to front:

The ‘actual question’ you asked?

“how exactly does this vaccuous claim of yours affect the direction government-funded climate science takes ?”

That’s an actual question?

Sounds like a speech to me.

For context, let’s look at where you first asked me it. How strange. I can’t find the word “direction” anywhere in the thread other than used by you claiming to have asked it (but not actually having asked it previously), other than by me in another contect unrelated to you.

Maybe you used a different word when you ‘actually’ asked the question. So let’s look for ‘government’. 46 matches on the page — it seems everyone talks about government, and no one does anything about it — and not one of them in the form of a question (other than begging the question) by you.

Did you not just six times lie about asking a question that simply never happened, Erica? Because Des said it did? Is this an argument from Des’ authority, or demanding impossible perfection of telepathically guessing what question you thought you meant? How am I obligated to answer a nonsuch?

Even so, let’s continue backwards through your screed.

When I said judges, I meant actual, sitting judges. Many of them. In several countries. The issue has been litigated, and at high levels, both in administrative and civil complaint, as well as in criminal investigation. They’ve absolutely supported Mann some eight times. They’ve largely supported Gore at least twice. They’ve ruled in favor of the EPA repeatedly.

Have courts and inquiries not at the same time found the fossil industry to have had shoddy, corrupt and false practices? Do you forget the Gulf of Mexico? Do you really deny that biofuels are a scam?

The finding of facts of a court, any court, mean nothing to a scientist of course, other than how many days he’ll spend in the vatican dungeon for practicing science.. but it does mean you haven’t a leg to stand on when you say “Whatever subsidies there are for petroleum etc have nothing to do with climate science, or science fraud.”

But you said you asked, “how exactly does this vaccuous claim of yours affect the direction government-funded climate science takes ?”

How big a pot of money are you calling climate science? Every penny that goes to every university that has an Earth Sciences department? Every cent spent on weather research or forecasting? As some in the military call climate questions defense issues, all military spending? I need a more explicit and precise definition of what in the past has always turned out to be a wildly bloated kitchen-sink paranoid conspiracy category of unrelated dollars, and so such claims never get taken seriously. Outside the nut house, I mean. Come back when you have a way to determine what is and isn’t in the category. Either category, really – spending or nut house.

You want to know what percentage of R&D tagged as ‘climate science’ goes to the fossil industry? Good luck with that. I suggest Google “Lamar Alexander subsidy” as a starting point, as he’s one of the people who assumed the government spent a whole lot on climate science and wanted to know where the money went. The reports he commissioned are eye-openers.

Your actual words were “Whatever subsidies there are for petroleum etc have nothing to do with climate science, or science fraud.” and not, “how exactly does this affect the direction government-funded climate science takes ?”

You’re the one making the absurd claims. Have I asked you to support them with fact? Of course not. I know there are no facts that support you. Your claims are patently false. QED.

Comment on NRC’s artless untruths on climate change and food security by GaryM

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“The GDP of Greece will continue to fall as the GDP of China will continue to rise.”

The Chinese economic miracle is a paper tiger. I wonder if I should post the articles about China’s ghost cities and ever increasing civil unrest again?

It’s not hard to show growth of 6-10 percent in an economy in which about a billion people live on less than a thousand dollars a year.

“The per-capita disposable income of urban people was 17,175 yuan ($2,514.6) in 2009, up 8.8 percent from a year earlier, said Ma Jiantang, director of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

Per-capita disposable income of rural residents stood at 5,153 yuan last year, and the growth rate was 0.6 percentage points lower than that of urban residents.”

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2010-01/22/content_9361049.htm

Not to mention, the progressive bureaucrats in the US uniformly inflate employment and growth figures, and artificially reduce inflation by leaving out food and energy costs. So what do you really think the chances are the Communist Central Committee in China allows accurate economic figures to be reported. Hack, what’s the chance they even know what the real figures are themselves? Slim to none.

The climate may get warmer of cooler. The seas may rise of fall. Arctic sea ice may increase or decrease. But the Chinese economy centrally planned “market” economy will end in a train wreck for certain. The only question is when, and at what cost.

Comment on Week in review 3/23/12 by Chief Hydrologist

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One warm winter does not a climate make. The NAM is positive at the moment as is SAM and the polar fronts contract to higher latitudes.
See here for an explanation – http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/agriculture/about-agriculture/newsletters-and-updates/newsletters/milking-the-weather/june-2011/sam

It seems associated with solar UV variability.
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v4/n11/full/ngeo1282.html
http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2011/nov/2nov2011a3.html
http://www.ncas.ac.uk/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=890:solar-forcing-of-winter-climate-variability-in-the-northern-hemisphere&catid=53:current-news&Itemid=299

Which probably has decadal to centennial and longer variability. Here is an example of Hale cycle variability over the 20th Century.
http://www-ssc.igpp.ucla.edu/personnel/russell/papers/731/731index.htm
http://www-ssc.igpp.ucla.edu/personnel/russell/papers/731/fig1.gif
http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/5/2/024001/fulltext/

The shift in atmospheric mass associated with sea level pressure changes at the poles must be linked to currents – in particular the Californian and Peruvian Currents – and therefore upwelling in the eastern Pacific. Although with lags and complex feedbacks – I don’t know how that could ever be proved. But it remains the only extant theory for the PDO.

I doubt if we know what the causes of recent warming were – if the satellite data is so unreliable that the implied albedo changes causing most of the warming are moot. Where is the future? It seems more likely to be more negative SAM and NAM on trend, negative PDO and declining solar activity. This must lead to cooler NH winters and cooler temps. generally.

Robert I Ellison
Chief Hydrologist

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