Michael | March 3, 2015 at 12:40 am |
“Opinion is evidence.”
While that’s of course true in climate science in this case we have facts as evidence that models are running hot:
Thanks for playing. Better luck next time.
Comment on Lessons from the ‘Irreducibly Simple’ kerfuffle by David in TX
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Comment on Week in review by JeffN
If this is real, and it looks like it is, the whole debate just ended.
http://www.physics-astronomy.com/2015/02/lockheed-martins-new-compact-fusion.html#.VPW6ELPF_qn
The neo-Malthusian debate will continue, however, but will be limited to a… smaller group.
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Comment on Lessons from the ‘Irreducibly Simple’ kerfuffle by Mary Brown
Model Output Statistics (MOS) have been used in weather forecasting since the 1970s. MOS replaced the “Perfect Prog” (PP) method because MOS accounts for time uncertainty and model bias. But even PP is much better than raw weather model output.
So why, in 2015, do we still hang our hat on raw climate model output? A climate MOS would be an obvious improvement.
Scarfeta from Duke Univ essentially did a basic Climate MOS in his climate forecasts. He found that model warming times 0.5 gave the best fit. Thus actual warming was just half the forecasts of GCMs. This is a remarkably similar conclusion to MSLB
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Comment on IPCC in transition by thisisnotgoodtogo
Willard, you’re right that misreading is isn’t the way to go.
Neither is leaving out the most pertinent part of a quote.
“For me the protection of Planet Earth”
He was referring to protecting Planet Earth, which means saving it from CAGW.
Protecting all the species isn’t the work which he was talking about, after all. It’s saving the Earth from CAGW.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by thisisnotgoodtogo
Hi ordvic. The UN has prayers to recite which say that we’ve lost our senses and our sensibiities.
So I doubt you can say the IPCC is clear of the UN reilgiosity.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by tonythomas061
Re van Ypersele, he has a track record as a warmest hysteric, see
http://quadrant.org.au/opinion/tony-thomas/2014/11/climate-hustles-hot-brussels/
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Comment on IPCC in transition by Frederick Colbourne
In my opinion, the IPCC should change its approach to climate change to include all natural and human factors.
As it is now, the assumption is that any observed climate change must be caused by mankind because no natural phenomena are known to be responsible. This is an “argumentum ignorantiam”, an argument based on ignorance that has no place in science.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by KenW
“I suspect that raw politics will be more important than individual credentials or platforms.”
You Betcha!
Let’s get it all out in the open though.
I’m for a round of FOIA for all involved!
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Comment on IPCC in transition by KenW
What they really need is somebody who knows what running a big international organization is all about these days.
I nominate Sepp Blatter.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by beththeserf
‘Warmist hysteric, :( ‘ see Quadrant re van Ypersele …
‘ We hafta” promulgate that goddam noble myth!
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Comment on IPCC in transition by beththeserf
Tsk! Supposed ter bring up a specific passage from Hayek
re political exploitation of myth. That van Ypersele gets it,
knows the value of developing the general acceptance of
a common weltanschauung. ‘Weltanschauung … never
leave home w/out it. https://beththeserf.wordpress.com/
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Comment on IPCC in transition by tonyb
Faustino
I would not disagree with you. Many who proclaim (and believe themselves to be) on the moral high ground do not always live up to the heights of their own expectations.
tonyb
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Comment on IPCC in transition by ordvic
Joshua, yeah it was a cheap shot an attempt at half hearted humor. Some posts back we had a conversation about left/right politics and your constant reference to labelistic memes you use to tweak denizen sceptics.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by Jacob
“Expecting any arm of the United Nations to maintain “scientific objectivity” is asking too much.”
The IPCC is a political propaganda body, totally useless, except as a provider of fat, taxpayer funded, jobs. Same as the UN.
The best thing would be for both (IPCC AND UN) to close down, but expecting them to do so is asking too much.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by jacobress
“the leader of IPCC for more than a decade is alleged to have partaken in sleazy and illegal behavior…”
So has the former President of the USA, the most honorable William Jefferson Clinton. Happens to the best of people!
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Comment on IPCC in transition by jacobress
“The chair doesn’t assess the science or write the reports.”
Of course not. He is too busy indulging in “sleazy and illegal behavior”
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Comment on IPCC in transition by jacobress
“Hard to imagine a worse job (and I hate traveling all over the place). ”
Well, how about nominating the US sec state? A good defender of the dogma, and he likes traveling all over the place. He’ll be available in a couple of years.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by thomaswfuller2
WE PETITION THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION TO:
Nominate Judith Curry as the next Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by jim2
I never made sense for someone like him to chair the IPCC anyway. He’s just as inept as Joe Biden.
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Comment on IPCC in transition by Joshua
Ordvic-
==> ‘and your constant reference to labelistic memes you use to tweak denizen sceptics.’
I think you’re mis-remembering. I try to avoid labeling. If you could provide examples. it might help me prevent such lapses inn the future.
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