Explaining the pause is like explaining a bigfoot sighing. The act of explaining it shows there was no bigfoot. Just like there is no pause.
Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
If those four graphs above were financial indices concerning a company and you stood up in a meeting in front of the board of said company and declared the companies profits had stalled and it was heading for disaster, you’d be fired on the spot for incompetence.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by Tuppence
So that’s the DUH DUH PAUSE that even the alarmist industry has reluctantly taken on board. Your Nobel Prize and Political Correctness awards can’t be far off now.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by captdallas2 0.8 +/- 0.2
Really? Aren’t profits per share projected at 0.20 but actual is about 0.08 per share. Slower than projected growth tends to turn off share holders. Are there some hidden expenses?
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by A. Voip
You at least picked the right business.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
“OUR PROFITS HAVE PAUSED SINCE 1996″
You’re fired!
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by Jan P Perlwitz
Muon,
“So even though the thermometers haven’t budged for 20 years nearly (as even the rapid alarmists of the IPCC now finally admit), lolwot says there is no pause.”
Who are those “ra[b]id alarmists of the IPCC” who supposedly “finally admitted” such a thing? Names, quotes, and proofs of sources, please.
Global surface temperature trends for the 20 years since 1995 (mean +/-2 sigma in Kelvin/decade):
GISTEMP: 0.112 +/- 0.093
NOAA: 0.093 +/- 0.089
HadCRUT4: 0.106 +/- 0.091
Berkeley: 0.129 +/- 0.088
HadCRUT4 krig v2: 0.14 +/- 0.096
HadCRUT4 hybrid v2: 0.146 +/- 0.105
(http://www.skepticalscience.com/trend.php)
Please, someone remind me. What again was the definition for “The Pause”? A “pause” from what?
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
they are debunking bigfoot sitings. You are the only one who believes in bigfoot.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by phatboy
Another one who imagines that all those peaks and dips in the data represents the actual movement of average global temperature.
They do not, and so any attempt to extract any meaningful trends is an exercise in futility.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by Ruth T
So rising profits till about 2000, then flatlining. Yip, definitely fired.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
not that skeptics do believe global warming has paused, they merely adopt the idea for convenience.
We already see a teaser with the 2014 breaking new records in GISTEMP and HadCRUT that climate skeptics will be very quick to switch back to denying the temperature records as soon as they can’t be used to promote a faux pause.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
“So rising profits till about 2000, then flatlining. Yip, definitely fired.”
Yep you would be.
2000 is on the 0.4 line.
2014 isn’t on there by the way and is higher than any of the other points.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by Tuppence
Yeah, sure. The whole of the IPCC and the rest of the alarmist industry have wrongly admitted there is a Pause. You are the only that pretends otherwise. For ‘bigfoot’, read ‘bigrise’ (in temps). It’s all a bigstory.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by A. Voip
Such big foot prints though.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by Ruth T
Miniscule differences since 2000 (compared to what came before). A Pause for all practical purposes. As even the mainstream has conceded, and is now seeking to finding excuses/reasons for.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
It’s funny how the only defence of the pause climate skeptics have is to appeal to the authority of climate scientists.
BUT THE CLIMATE SCEINTISTS BELIEF IT!!
Is that really the best they can do?
Do ANY climate scientists really believe that warming stopped 18 years ago? I doubt it.
But here’s something climate scientists do believe: the Earth is warming up due to human greenhouse gas emissions.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
“Miniscule differences since 2000 (compared to what came before)”
Lets compare it then. Thick red line is what came before.
Data since 2000 follows the same trend that came before.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by Ruth T
That there is a suspicion of temperature records being tweaked in an attempt to save global warming, in no way sugggests skeptics doubt the Pause. Why would they? Heck, even the top-ranking truebelievers ‘scientists’ of the ‘consensus’ believe it, as much as it galls them and harms the political cause they serve.
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by lolwot
Okay ok fine, I don’t want to clutter with lots of comments so I’ll let everyone have the last (laugh).
Some believe in a global temperature pause, fine. Maybe you’ll luck out and one will actually happen next decade.
Some scientists like Dr Mann and Schmidt are now on record saying the world will continue warming, while others such as Dr Curry think the pause is real and could continue to 2030.
So everyone, including some scientists have made their predictions. Let their credibility rest on what unfolds in the coming decade. I for one look forward to the seemingly absurd prospect that ocean heat, global temperature and sea level will suddenly stop rising. Maybe CO2 will stop rising too!
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Comment on 2 new papers on the ‘pause’ by Jan P Perlwitz
I’m stating a proposition (that I already had stated before in this blog some time ago) how a “pause” of the global surface warming trend could be scientifically meaningfully defined:
A “pause” is a statistically significant and statistically robust (i.e., not sensitively dependent on some outlier in the data) decrease in the global surface warming trend relative to the longer-term surface warming trend (which itself is statistically significant). One could similarly define an “acceleration” of the global surface warming trend.
According to this definition, for instance the time period between 1940 and 1970 was a true pause.
However, I’m quite sure that the fans of the “pause”-meme generally won’t like this definition, for obvious reasons.
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