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Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by micro6500

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” The energy gained over the tropics, which is then transported to the poles, must enter the ground in the polar regions before it can be emitted to space. This is because no GHGs and no clouds, also no aerosol, shall be contained in this hypothetical atmosphere. The atmosphere cannot emit energy directly to space, as it lacks long-wave emitters. Consequently, any “imported” energy that shall leave the Earth-atmosphere system in the polar regions, must be transported via sensible heat flux into the ground. From there it can then be emitted to space.

Now, GHGs shall be introduced. Sure, they have a “shielding” effect over the tropics by causing long-wave downwelling radiation to heat the surface. The same happens, to some smaller extent though, in the polar regions. In addition to that, GHGs give the atmosphere the ability to emit energy directly into space, without the need to transport it through the surface first. This increases the ability of the planet to get rid of energy at the poles, which has been collected over the tropics. In essence, this helps the atmosphere to perform its “task” of meridional energy transport; GHGs help to balance the radiative imbalance between the tropics and the poles.”
This is basically the same effect I see in surface stations, air heated in the tropics is carried pole ward, and is radiated over night exiting the system leading to more cooling than the prior day warmed.
It also calls into question “Arctic amplification “, sub zero snow doesn’t radiate a lot of 15u ir.


Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by PA

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The Antarctica paper seems to indicate that increasing CO2 makes Antarctica a better radiator, increasing the heat loss from the atmosphere without warming the surface.

Is this correct?

Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by micro6500

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Steven Mosher on the last thread: “Downwelling IR is not the cause of global warming. IT IS THE EFFECT. Downwelling IR doesn’t warm the planet.”

Lol, did our resident post modern warmist really say that?
I actually agree that his comment matches what’s being measured , but I wonder how increasing Co2 is suppose to do anything then?

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by John Carter

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Judy Curry

You make a remarkable number of presumptions in your piece, and in so doing engage in far more manipulation and game playing than McNutt ever did.

I don’t like her language personally, but the debate to which she specifically refers (calling it “over”), is a false one.

That you don’t see that, and write any type of argument possible to perpetuate the notions that through anthropogenic impact long term climate isn’t being significantly altered – or that it’s not being altered with a relevant risk range of major climatic shifting – and that the overwhelming majority of climate scientists don’t believe otherwise, is part of what perpetuates the circular catch-22 of closed loop “logic” that goes on here.

It’s silly to borderline inane to think a multi million year increase to earth’s long term chemical atmospheric energy recapture wouldn’t ultimately significantly impact earth, and the overall trailing data and signs of effect (not just air temperature but the total picture) corroborates almost inescapable common sense on the issue even further. (Though even that is misrepresented and cherry picked apart by “skeptics” and this site, and such sense escapes.)

There is also no evidence to support such a notion: Aside from basic issue miscontruction, unrecognized broad brush and irrelevant philosophical semantics, or scientific tautology there isn’t a single cohesive or rational theory why such a multi million year and ongoing long term atmospheric energy recapture shift wouldn’t ultimately significantly impact earth or, to hone it down further, present a relevant risk range of moderate (if highly unlikely), to severe alteration.

Let alone of course one that would simultaneously and RATIONALLY explain the highly “coincidental” pattern of just such signs of long term change as would be expected, though it’s obvious (or perhaps not) exactly what would happen can not be precisely predicted in advance. (Yet another concept falsely conflated with the idea that climate scientists are therefore “wrong” on the basic issue.) And let alone how those signs could be explained as bizarre “coincidence” at the very same time a thus multi million year shift in earth’s long term molecular energy capture would nevertheless not be affecting earth itself.

You falsely turn almost everything into something it is not. Sure there are issues with the editorial, but editors have the right to write editorials. Your conclusion that therefore papers that show climate change to be less or not real won’t be published (if one that doesn’t badly mangle the issue even exists), is specious. “Debate over” or not – although it’s still not clear what debate ever existed, as the issue is the same as it has been for 30 years, just a lot more corroboration has rolled in, and emissions added – science thrives on challenge and contrary theories and illustration of basic mistake.

Such a paper, since they are rare on climate change (in fact, apart from making basic mistake themselves they practically don’t exist for the same reasons expressed above – i.e., there is nothing to support the ‘skeptic” position expressed here but misconstrued and cherry picked attacks upon climate science), could even get preferential treatment or a wider “berth” in the name of what science is. Even more so because if something suggested climate change to be less significant overall, that would be GOOD news.

You can guess otherwise, but you are basically saying that because she wrote a bad editorial Science is likely now jaded against actual relevant science in its papers. That’s a big leap, and a little spurious.

But what you do is far more, and it’s something you’re extremely good at. You twist all of this into something that it’s not; and in the process demolish any decent points to temper the way the challenge of climate change is communicated (indeed your hostility toward it and support of such hostility prompts such editorials, born of frustration, as McNutt’s), in the process.

You give credit to a highly hyperbolic, borderline libel, “Digging into Clay” and highly manipulative graphic – the irony of this being stated by a skeptic in reference to climate scientists rather than numerous leading skeptics is somewhat remarkable, but par for the course – and then come up with one that is even more misleading yourself: For it uses semantics again to twist what is really happening, and fit it into your own extreme formulation (for which your minions here and in our half anti science Congress are so grateful and look to you for guidance that you might never realize that despite some good work you’re egregiously, fundamentally wrong on this issue, and thus “let them down”), to continue to cling to heavily one sided beliefs and perceptions on this issue.

To wit, you suggest of Science and science that it is, can or will follow an:
Appeal to authority
Absence of doubt
Intolerance of debate
Desire to convince others of the ideological ‘truth’
Willingness to punish those that don’t concur

You undermine any legitimate such concerns by exaggerating and largely (and ironically) misapplying it. “They don’t like my point of view [let alone your pattern of fundamental construction errors] so science is bad and wants to quash views and punish people for views and here’s a frustrated editorial by the editor of Science ineloquently expressing the basic consensus that keeps getting misrepresented by skeptics so I’ll use it as an excuse to bad mouth science, Science, and climate scientists again and re support the common meme that there’s real scientific debate among climate scientists as to whether our actions have altered (and will keep altering) the earth in a way that is and likely will increasingly impact climate and it’s being unfairly and anti scientifically quashed…

…Because that’s what we need to believe to continue being skeptics rather than just focusing on the merits of our arguments relative to the real science, and maybe getting some papers published in the (now of course, conveniently ideological) science magazines that show how the earth’s fairy Godmothers will micromanage basic physics so our Goldilocks climate under which we evolved – and despite a massive multi million year dump to earth’s basic insulation layer – stays “just right” for us humans and the things upon which we rely.”

You are using the “authority is not always right” canard to get around the relevant facts in instances where leading experts (in an overwhelming consensus despite your rhetoric and misrepresentation on that as well) are essentially right, when you don’t want to accept or understand why, or are clinging to things to render yourself incapable of seeing it.

There is plenty of doubt. The doubt is different from the mistakes, misrepresentations, and circular logic raised and used by skeptics, however, and involves the ongoing process of learning more and more fine detail about this issue and its accumulating effects and correcting, adjusting, learning process of science. You conflate the two because you don’t see these mistakes, misrepresentations and circular logic, as they support your “view.” (One which, to boot, “just happens” to be right in this instance and most climate scientists “wrong,” at least according to your logic. Which would be fine if your reasons why they were wrong didn’t themselves represent a cherry picking, semantic rhetoric, and basic issue misconstruing approach.)

And this leads to the third: “Intolerance of debate.” Skeptics can say anything they want, even (as leading magazine NRO did) call Michael Mann the science equivalent of child molestor (remarkable zealotry to even fathom by the way.) Yet pointing out the errors of skeptics, and or disagreeing, or even using rhetoric back, is suddenly being “intolerant of debate.”

It reminds one of Fox news – ironic since I understand you are not a big fan? – which alleges nearly anything it wants, then when anything is shown that disagrees or shows mistakes or takes a different perspective that is unflattering to Fox, it’s “quashing debate”: Debate suddenly meaning “support me, and don’t say things I don’t want to hear: yet not only don’t those rules, but no rules whatsoever apply to things we say, because ‘that’s different.'”

I grant you there’s a tendency on the part of some concerned with climate change to sometimes use a tenor of intolerance for skeptics, in large part because of much of this same inane and issue twisting rhetoric (and attacks upon everyone else while rhetorically turning even disagreement and argument into “quashing” discussion), and in part because they (sadly) can’t really believe that skeptics really “believe” what they say. It’s human nature. But it’s just these types of responses as your piece above, and the need to constantly twist the issue and impugn almost everyone not on your side (as I have been nearly every time I have responded here) that then produces exactly what you complain about.

I also agree mistakes are made by those concerned about the issue which shows an insensitivity, a lack of empathy, to those who really think climate change is overblown, and are inundated with so much self reinforcing misinformation and rhetoric (such as here, particularly in the comments, and elsewhere) in a largely self selected “news” world. But for the skeptic to understand that, the skeptic has to first understand the fundamental mistake and pattern of misinformation (or irrelevant information made through issue misconstruction and rhetoric to sound relevant) that so called and ironically labeled climate change skepticism requires, in which case one would no longer be a skeptic.

(The term “skeptic” by the way is more than a little ironic because skepticism is the opposite in this case, consisting instead of a belief — with no basis but to instead misconstrue and attack climate science and one-sidedly cherry pick things like this McNutt editorial — while it of course oddly labels the idea that a massive energy shift would affect what’s basically ultimately a long term cumulative expression of energy (climate) as itself a belief rather than scientific reason.)

But those are different issues, and a problem in climate change communication; they do not go to the heart of, or have anything to do with, the actual assessment of this geophysical issue and the risk ranges it presents and why. (Though they do keep people from being able to assess it better.) And they normally pale in comparison to the hostility and projection that emanates from the skepticism side of climate change, which to boot, has the basic underlying issue fundamentally wrong, and remains intransigent to (and in some cases seemingly incapable of) open-mindedly contemplating why.

I’m 100% with you on “intolerance for debate” being a bad thing. But I’m 0% with you on your unrecognized conflation of dismissing the relevancy of incorrect climate skeptic arguments (though I think they should be pointed out instead), pointing out mistakes, or offering frustrated views, with “intolerance for,” or “quashing of” debate – yet that is exactly what you do, do here, and do on every piece that raises or touches on this issue (and many of yours do).

Your 4th sin was the desire to convince others of an ideological truth. Is that not what skeptics are doing on something which is not ideological, but science, or pure geophysical assessment, and logic? As well as on all of the underlying “ideas” driving most skepticism, such as the enormous (if not hysterical) presumption that producing the “good” of less pollution, ending reliance on foreign oil, and mitigation of long term geologically radical atmospheric alteration is somehow itself not of real value, unlike all the silly things we DO do that contribute to GDP, and even though the production of alternative energy and agricultural processes and practices is itself as valid a component of GDP, growth and jobs as anything else.

You also conflate the words of a few with what, to conveniently cling to “skepticism” you assign to anyone concerned about climate change, namely the imposition of some otherwise unrelated ideology, and then the expression of belief of that ideology. This is once again more of the semantic pattern of anything but an open objective look at the actual issue and not cherry picked items and rhetoric to reinforce the “skeptic” belief.

Your last is the creation of a red herring (if I am using that correctly) and then acting as if your conjecture is reality; a willingness to “punish.”

Some people utter some foolish statements on this, and I point it when I see it. But it’s the exception not the rule. And most of even these are misrepresented or taken out of context (and again often highly cherry picked). While again, this is done to reinforce the self sealing nature of climate change “skepticism,” that: “see, if we don’t agree they want to punish us” in order to fit into the imaginary (but believed) meme that simple engagement back, even on a less hostile level than many skeptic sites and leaders engage, and so forth, is “quashing views,” and pointing out errors or dismissing rhetoric is “intolerance for debate.”

The irony is that as, or to the extent this becomes, more ideological on the skeptic side (to perpetuate the belief pretty much regardless of what points are made and even ongoing accumulation of corroborating data rolls in), the very things skeptics worry about only increase in likelihood – stupid rules out of panic at some point in the future, due to horribly misinformed, ideological and semantic game playing “assessment” earlier, as well as more and more dismissiveness of skeptics as people who “know full well they are wrong but are lying because they are selfish” (assessments I don’t generally agree with). Which in turn only further self seals in the tautological circle of logic and perception that, to cling to skepticism, is created and being perpetuated here in the name of ‘debate.’ But which is far from it.

It’s misinformation, it’s issue miscontruction, it’s demonizing, it’s castigation, its excessive rhetoric and semantic cherry picking, all because the “belief” that simply stopping dirty polluting fuels and using clean ones, etc., is some sort of bad thing, and thus that the main issue prompting it (aside from the pollution aspect) – so called “climate change” or the far more accurate “radical long term atmospheric alteration” therefore isn’t real, that big of a deal, or is fundamentally unclear. And thus refuse to see what is, and use every trick in the book (again, here’s a classic but typical one), to continue to believe what one has already been “convinced” of or wants to believe, as a way to avoid the real debate – and what should be being focused on: What does this risk range really present, and what are the best possible, most pro employment opportunity, choice, low mandate approaches to our need to collectively tackle this simple, yet fairly gargantuan, thing we’ve a bit improvidently done; namely, radically change the long term nature of the atmosphere (that we’re still massively adding to), through processes we’ve become a bit habituated to but that for the most part don’t make a lot of sense.

But skeptics think that these things “do make sense,” don’t want to “give them up” (even when totally market oriented such as through a C tax and minor regulation so through choice better mechanisms become more beneficial and shift our economy to a more sensible direction), and so therefore convince themselves that the otherwise completely unrelated geophysical reality, isn’t what almost every single climate scientist studying this (itself again misrepresented) says, the total picture of ongoing earth system changes strongly corroborates, and common sense suggests.

And rational discussion becomes lost. Often, under the believed guise of it.

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by Ron Graf

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PA, I defer to your knowledge on many issues here but I have to disagree with your assertion that the Second Law limits the temperature of the cooked object to be lower than the temperature of the source, or is in any way limited by the source electromagnetic concentration.

What you say is true for convection, just not for radiation. I will leave there for Steven to finish for HockeyS.

Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by Derek Alker

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Physically, yes, in modelling terms, errrr, NO…

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by Congressional Climate Expert Judith Curry Follows Same Pattern, Excoriates Science – My Response | Climate Solutions and Analysis

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[…] make a remarkable number of presumptions in your piece, and in so doing engage in far more manipulation and game playing than McNutt ever did. [Edit: […]

Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by angech2014

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Abstract. CO2 is the strongest anthropogenic forcing agent for climate change since pre-industrial times.

So true quite small and can be neglected for most practical applications..
The CO2 itself is only a tiny proportion of the GHG , mainly water as a gas and water vapor, say 10% [ the major absorbers (H2O near-infrared bands, O2, CO2 near-infrared bands, and O3 UV and visible bands) ].
So anthropogenic CO2 effect is less than 0.075% hence, to paraphrase, is “quite small and can be neglected for most practical applications.

By the way does O2 absorb near infra red and why is this important effect never mentioned?


Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by Peter Davies

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A good question but I believe that Steven was writing about what was the cause of the additional IR in the first place and not about the mechanism by which downwelling radiation heats the Earth’s surface.

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by gymnosperm

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Fair enough, and the other than climate reporting in Nature and Science still approaches its former stature. Scientific American not so much.

Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by angech2014

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As the surface is generally warmer than the atmosphere, the total long-wave emission to space is commonly less than the surface emission.

Curious comment
scientifically not right
perhaps I am mistaking the purpose of the comment.
Radiation comes in, some is reflected on the way down radiation received at surface equals radiation out from surface at surface.
which must all eventually, mostly all as long-wave radiation go to space, plus the infrared radiation from some of the incident SW and LW absorbed by the atmosphere, ie never reached the surface in the first place but goes back out as both SW [reflected], and LW from GHG absorption. The total long-wave emission to space is always greater than the surface emission.

Note the TOA emission is less per square meter but there are a lot more square meters up there to add up, perhaps this is where the confusion came in.

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by Peter Davies

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This “comment” could reasonably not be considered an invitation for someone to engage in debate. It seems to operate under the presumption that if enough mud is thrown some of it may stick.

Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by angech2014

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Moreover, for central Antarctica an increase in CO2 concentration leads to an increased long-wave energy loss to space, which cools the earth-atmosphere system.

Again most heat is always lost in the tropics. The most heat going out occurs in the day with the sun directly overhead. The hotter it is the more heat goes out by a factor of 2 to the fourth power.
Thus the area to look at for the most heat loss which “cools the planet is perversely the tropics. Cloud cover here can reflect a lot more heat here hence lowering the total earth absorption of energy significantly.
The polar areas hardly lose any heat to space in comparison, being so cold to start with.

There is no increased long-wave energy loss to space, only the normal amount of long-wave energy that is expected given the amount of insolation, GHG and cloud cover at the time.
There was obviously less energy getting to the surface!

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by John Carter

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“Only the chosen ones are allowed to “discuss” the facts and their interpretation. Now is that right?”

No. But having an “opinion” on climate science that differs from most climate scientists doesn’t suddenly make one entitled to major billing in news media outlets, but yet that’s exactly what skeptics want, and whine when they don’t get it (though sometimes they do.) I think they should, to compare their “claims” with the RELEVANT facts and WHY the relevant facts are relevant. That would be informative news.

Also, critiquing climate change denouncers, or using rhetoric even milder than denouncers commonly use, or pointing out that and why denouncers have the issue flagrantly wrong, and are misinforming, is not “quashing” discussion; it is part of discussion.

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by Mike Flynn

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Ron Graf,

PA is correct. Merely by concentrating the rays of the Sun, you cannot achieve a higher temperature than the source.

If you have any references to experimental evidence showing this to be untrue, I would be grateful if you could provide them. Using solar power to operate a device that in turn can achieve a temperature higher than that of the Sun’s surface does not qualify, of course.


Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by angech2014

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GHGs give the atmosphere the ability to emit energy directly into space, without the need to transport it through the surface first. This increases the ability of the planet to get rid of energy at the poles, which has been collected over the tropics.

No, see above. It does not get rid of energy at the poles it just lowers the amount of radiation able to enter the atmosphere and hit the surface.
The energy from the tropics is mostly put out in the tropics, less so in the temperate areas and minimally at the poles as most is lost long before it can get there.

Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by freeHat

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Hints of looking for lost keys under the streetlamp, as mentioned by JC a while back.

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by John Carter

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“”You lost the respect of tens of thousands of mainstream, but quaint scientists, who do not believe that data should be water-boarded.””

Funny how almost none of them are actual climate scientists. It’s zealotry delusion reinforced by mob skepticism mentality that thinks data has been “water boarded.”

Creating this issue of “waterboarding” has been a far bigger fraud than anything ever alleged of climate scientists. (Worse, zealotry keeps it from being seen.)

Here’s an example. “NASA data tampering,” which some famous skeptics called the biggest science scandal of the year, decade, ever, etc.

It had 3 components. Two were a fraud themselves (alleging fraud by way of bigger fraud) and the third, while irrelevant, was also ironically completely backward as well.

Those components were –

NASA NOAA etc falsely changed weather station data
They only did this upward
In so doing they “exaggerated” ambient global surface temperatures. (Putting aside that despite it’s popularity by a simplistic media, that’s not climate change, it’s a component, and a highly variable, certainly non linear, and unpredictable one.)

All three flagrantly wrong

The first two though are the ones that matter.

NASA etc didn’t falsely change station data. They did routine calibration. Not doing so is bad science. This is not controversial. Got an issue with how they did it? Correct it, critique it, that’s part of science as well. But of course that’s not what was done. Zealot skeptics turned it into a big fake fraud, which, worse, they believed, because it helped reinforce the belief driven notion that climate change isn’t really real, and so attack anything that seems to support it anyway possible, even the basic fact of the long upward if volatile march in ambient surface global air temperatures themselves.

The next part was even worse, if possible. This was presented to the world as if only upward recalibrations were done. This was not true They were done in both directions. That key little fact was of course omitted.

Big awful NASA cherry picked weather stations and falsely upped the temperatures to falsely create the appearance of the hoax global warming, some of these same “quaint” (but non climate) scientists largely believed, and millions and millions of others, led astray by this wild pattern of misinformation.

The biggest irony of all, though its pretty irrelevant to the basic science and issue involved, is had NASA engaged in sub par science, not done routine recalibrations, the overall measured “warming” would have been a littlle more, not less. So even the result was a fraud.

But from reading these comments, and the one being responded to, it seems clear almost nobody on this site wants to hear or consider things like this, because it breaks the nice little incredibly lopsided and often issue mangling (and scientist impugning) memes that climate etc engages in, that reinforce the skepticism that runs rampant here.

How silent was Curry on what is a massive fraud or blind zealotry delusion in the perpetuation of a belief under the guise of “reason” o this site? Probably never mentioned it. But she excoriates poor McNutt, and ultimately Science, and science, in general, for writing an editorial as editor that references a false debate in the first place, as over.

Comment on New research on atmospheric radiative transfer by Mike Flynn

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All of the papers mentioned appear to involve solar radiation, either explicitly or implicitly.

At least one refers to a negative GHE, during six months of continuous daylight (or thereabouts).

In the absence of sunlight in other places, say the Tibetan plateau, does the GHE become negative?

There is at least one paragraph in one of the papers that doesn’t appear to be factual. “The atmosphere cannot emit energy directly to space, as it lacks long-wave emitters. Consequently, any “imported” energy that shall leave the Earth-atmosphere system in the polar regions, must be transported via sensible heat flux into the ground. From there it can then be emitted to space.”

A sample of atmosphere above absolute zero does not need “long wave emitters”, or any other sort of “emitters”. It can, and does, emit energy in all directions. If the environment is colder than the atmosphere, it will cool. Talk of requiring a “sensible heat flux into the ground” to enable the atmosphere to lose energy to space is simply incorrect.

Measuring the temperature of the atmosphere would not be possible if the atmosphere did not emit radiation.

Atmospheric radiative transfer models seem to have a way to go, particularly in the absence of insolation.

Comment on The beyond-two-degree inferno by John Carter

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<b>"Reblogged this on Climate Collections and commented: Chief Editor of Science magazine, Marcia McNutt, calls for the end of debate on climate science = censorship."</b> You can debate it all you want. She said there is no debate. There are a bunch of claims that misconstrue the issue that try to forestall action on an issue that's been clear for a long time, and corroborating data just continues to accumulate as the overall challenge (and likely ultimate overall long term effect), due to non response, greatly amplifies. But anything that makes a point you don't like, if there is any way through rhetoric and semantics to convince yourself it's "censorship," why, then, that's what's done, with a little assist from Curry's <a href="https://climatesolutionsandanalysis.wordpress.com/2015/07/07/congressional-climate-expert-judith-curry-follows-same-pattern-excoriates-science-my-response/" rel="nofollow">unfair and, if unintentionally, manipulative post above</a>. So, Science editor editorializing, that there's no real debate, a point of view (and from a science perspective one that almost all climate scientists agree with; you can disagree, though I haven't seen one single cohesive theory as to why, that didn't misrepresent, misconstrue, or badly cherry pick the issue) is in the "objective, fair, open minded skeptic" mind, somehow, censorship: Anything to feel outrage, impugn science, feel that it's all part of the hoax designed to move us from wonderful clean non polluting healthy "hundreds of millions of years to build up underground and slowly change the atmosphere in so doing fossil fuels," to horrible, corrupting, non clean, non infinite, anti GDP (solar costs are magic, unlike all other costs they subtract from GDP apparently) solar etc, and better more sensible agricultural practices.
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