Yes, declaring that the debate is over brings clarity.
name that fallacy boys and girls
Comment on Week in review – science edition by Steven Mosher
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Steven Mosher
“Steven,
Well, if proven to be correct, I’d expect Dr. Karl to take is as a term of endearment.
If not, eh, not so much. Personally, I’m leaning Nieves.”
There is no PROVING CORRECT.
You have the data you have.
you have various choices and methods
Those yeild a range of answers.
None is provable correct.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Steven Mosher
“Steven Mosher: Nothing like personalizing a technical debate.
Now you object to naming things after people in science? “Winsorized”, “Pasteurized”, “Einstein summation convention”, etc?”
problem is Spencer didnt NAME anything.. see nonce.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Steven Mosher
““Nothing like personalizing a technical debate. It brings such clarity.”
Like it’s not personalized now.”
I like this defense. next time Obama violates the constitution I will say
no problem he has done it before
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Steven Mosher
“RSS uses model driven adjustments, so is unacceptable. UAH is the gold standard.”
The last change appears to have brough the “gold standard” in line with RSS…
if RSS is unacceptable then anything close to is wrong.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by richardswarthout
Justin
I first read of Smolin many years ago on the topic of Loop Quantum Gravity; he was one of the original collaborators. As I recall LQG was a competing theory with string theory and Smolin was expecting that an upcoming experiment in outer space would determine the winner; don’t think it worked out.
His book “The Trouble With Physics” sounds like a worthwhile purchase. I may order it tomorrow along with some other books I have in mind.
Richard
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by ristvan
Mosher, please visit WUWT and Eschenbach’s new post on Heathrow. Then get back. We always knew Berkeley folks were reality challenged. Station 100600 ‘adjustments’, and all that. Just not how much. Sure you want to provide that ‘paleoproxy’ yardstick for the rest of us who can evidently do the ‘three Rs’?
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by ristvan
+1. Especially new, black tarmac. Heathrow N resurfaced 2014.
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Comment on Decision strategies for uncertain, complex situations by -1=e^iπ
Although the consumption elasticity used in DICE is 1.45. Which results in more risk aversion than using a value of 1 (which gives utility as a logarithmic function of utility).
Personally, I’ve very skeptical if the coefficient of relative risk aversion is 1 or greater. Because if this is the case, how do you explain the fact that some people do activities such as skydiving, smoking, or driving recklessly?
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Comment on Decision strategies for uncertain, complex situations by -1=e^iπ
Sorry there was a typo in my last comment. “I’ve very skeptical” should read “I’m very skeptical”.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by David L. Hagen
<b>The Little Ice Age had a major impact on society! </b>
e.g., see:
<a href="http://www.amazon.com/The-Little-Ice-Age-1300-1850/dp/0465022723?tag=duckduckgo-d-20" rel="nofollow">The Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History 1300-1850 </a>Paperback – December 24, 2001 by Brian Fagan
<blockquote>The Little Ice Age tells the story of the turbulent, unpredictable, and often very cold years of modern European history, how this altered climate affected historical events, and what it means for today's global warming. Building on research that has only recently confirmed that the world endured a 500 year cold snap, renowned archaeologist Brian Fagan shows how the increasing cold influenced familiar events from Norse exploration to the settlement of North America to the Industrial Revolution.</blockquote>
London held "frost fairs" on the frozen Thames.
<a href="http://www.historic-uk.com/HistoryUK/HistoryofEngland/The-Thames-Frost-Fairs/" / rel="nofollow">The Thames Frost Fairs</a>
<blockquote>Between 1600 and 1814, it was <b>not uncommon for the River Thames to freeze over for up to two months at time.</b> There were two main reasons for this; the first was that Britain (and the entire of the Northern Hemisphere) was locked in what is now known as the 'Little Ice Age'. . . .
Although these harsh winters often brought with them famine and death, it was the local Londonders - as enterprising and resilient as ever - who decided to <b>make the most of it and set up the Thames Frost Fairs. In fact, between 1607 and 1814 there were a total of seven major fairs, as well as countless smaller ones.</b>
These Frost Fairs would have been quite a spectacle, full of hastily constructed shops, pubs, ice skating rinks... everything that you would expect in the crowded streets of London but on ice! . . .</blockquote>
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Comment on Decision strategies for uncertain, complex situations by -1=e^iπ
@ AK – I’m not that familiar with the literature on experience curves, so I’ll have to read up on it at some point. Thank you for the information.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by richardswarthout
Tony
Didn’t the last UK election bring to fore a new and surprising knowledge that the voters do not support the climate policies they have endured? And didn’t the new government take actions to change the policies?
Richard
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Steven Mosher
I did rud.
More conjecture.
Download all one minute data from airports.
Get arrival and departure times.
Try to find a plane landing heat induced signal.
After u fail let us know.
Look at the ground safety manuals for jet aircraft.
Look at the exhaust temperature profiles.
Then get back to me.
That said hottest day records are stupid.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Steven Mosher
That is a good test case rud.
How large a jump will new tarmac create?
Seriously. It’s a good test case. Write a paper.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Ragnaar
Plankton?
http://www.csmonitor.com/Science/Science-Notebook/2015/0718/How-tiny-plankton-brighten-the-clouds-over-Southern-Ocean
“…these microscopic creatures supply half of the planet’s oxygen.”
Is this explaining why the Southern Hemisphere refuses to warm?
Phytoplankton Population Drops 40 Percent Since 1950
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/phytoplankton-population/
“The tiny organisms, known as phytoplankton, also gobble up carbon dioxide to produce half the world’s oxygen output—equaling that of trees and plants on land.”
I suppose their point is we are killing the plankton with warmth. Might be that the warmth is caused by some mixed up predator/prey cycles. We could just assume it’s us and move on. Why isn’t the heat killing the plankton in the SH? How does half our oxygen compare to the difference between 280 and 400 ppm?
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by David L. Hagen
<a href="https://www.northumbria.ac.uk/about-us/our-staff/z/professor-valentina-zharkova/" / rel="nofollow">Prof Valentina Zharkova</a>
Department of Mathematics and Information Sciences
Northumbria University UK
Shepherd, Simon, Zharkov, Sergei and Zharkova, Valentina (2014) Prediction of Solar Activity from Solar Background Magnetic Field Variations in Cycles 21-23. The Astrophysical Journal, 795 (1). pp. 46-54. ISSN 1538-4357
<a href="http://beforeitsnews.com/science-and-technology/2015/07/mini-ice-age-possible-in-2030s-predicts-new-model-of-solar-cycle-2773354.html" rel="nofollow">Mini-ice age possible in 2030s</a>
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by David L. Hagen
Salvatore del Prete
Lag predicted as Pi/2 of cycle or 11/4 years = 2.75 years.
See David Stockwell <a href="http://vixra.org/pdf/1108.0032v1.pdf" rel="nofollow">Key evidence for solar accumulation theory</a>
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Danny Thomas
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Danny Thomas
“There is no PROVING CORRECT.”
Okay, so why should anyone bother “doing their own damn science” as they (whomever they are) cannot be correct nor can they be incorrect.
And Steven Mosher is equally as correct as Danny Thomas as Jim D and AK and Peter Lang and Capt. D as Rud and Tony and Dr. Curry and so on?
Why is there a big debate?
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