Matthew
There is no such thing as ‘global’ sea level data from 1880. There are a few NH gauges, most of which have moved, and even fewer SH gauges that date to that time
There are not enough to make any sort of estimate fit for a global estimate.
tonyb
Wagathon
Paramount Pictures?
tonyb
tonyb
So interesting to see if the rains come, if the floods come, mudslides and extreme events plus a spike in global average temperatures. At least the wildfires will be doused till the next dry spell. Last years El Nino petered out and if this one lasts we can expect new headlines. But at least wet. How is SE Great Britain?
The extreme irony of Taleb on climate is that his claim to fame arose from his correctly diagnosing financial risk models as being wrong (failing to identify risk) whereas in climate, he believes the models being used by the consensus despite abundant evidence that they are inaccurate, at a minimum.
Of course, a simpler explanation is that Taleb has a conscious or subconscious bias in both cases, but that said bias was right in one and wrong in the other.
GMO isn’t a right or left issue except where the organic industry comes into play.
The biggest complaint I have with the anti-GMO crowd is that they don’t seem to care if equally dangerous radiation or chemical mutagenic breeding is used such as was used for golden barley, but (ex: http://shop.goldminenaturalfoods.com/ORGANIC-GOLDEN-WAXY-BARLEY-1-LB/productinfo/0111-1601/) but the more specific gene implantation techniques used today are somehow bad.
I certainly do share concerns about how GMO crops are being used to monopolize/oligopolize seed production, but these are legal/public good issues – not scientific ones.
The original link on radiation mutagenic plant breeding and “golden promise” barley: http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/28/science/28crop.html?_r=0
As I note above: it is ironic that single gene transplantation is somehow considered less safe than random mutation of an entire genetic code set. How does anyone know what other mutated genes may lurk inside a breed which has exhibited some desired property created via radiative mutation?
Thanks for the links. Some of the comments following the food safety article are particularly troubling – almost hysterical in their views on GMO. Hoofnagle’s point on “fishing trips” deserves repeating, again and again and again. It pretty much captures some of what has been happening in climate science, especially paleoclimatology.
Most GMO is trans species. For example,Golden rice is two genes that collectively synthesis beta carotene, the metabolic precursor to Vitamin A. Psy is from the daffodil. Crtl is from a soil bacterium.
It is estimated that annually, about 500,00 children under age 5 going irreversibly blind from vitamin A deficiency, VAD, and that VAD contributes to up to 2 million deaths. There are about 190 million children with VAD, most in Asia. And this GMO rice is available free thanks to Syngentia and the inventors generosity concerning patent 7838749 and its sequelae.
The example shows how narrowly specific GMO actually is. It does not ‘scamble up’ the general metabolism as you seem to fear. As Matt Ridley pointed out in the WSJ recently, the older way (screening radiation induced random mutations for useful properties) is much more likely to result in unintended consequences.
EXCELLENT article on scotland ban of GM
Brian Wynne interviewed in the Scotsman: the Scottish ban of GM crops.
http://www.scotsman.com/news/environment/scots-gm-crops-backing-like-a-religious-crusade-1-3862310 …
Digging deeper the USGCRP includes a huge interagency program on the carbon cycle, but no solar cycle program. NASA tried to launch a sun-climate research program several years ago but got shot down. The Danish are doing most of the work in this field.
Right , David,I was under a misunderstanding there.. But after looking at the USGCRP site, I didn’t see anything about funding. There is a lot of research going on all over the world on these topics that doesn’t involve the USGCRP. I am not sure why you focus on this particular program and extrapolate to all climate related research..
natural climate variability
I don’t know that this particular phrase iis used very often, David. Try climate and “natural variability”
Scott
I am in the south west of England in the county of Devon
After a cracking start the summer has been a little cooler than normal and after some very dry weather earlier in the year since around early July It has been a little wetter than usual.
If the winds continue to come the west it may be quite a mild winter.
Tonyb
Jay Currie: as its cover states, Mark Steyn did not write the book in question :
He compiled it without much regard for the norms of ellipsis or the sense or meaning of many he quote mined.
Having written about Steyn since 2007 , I had a duty to warn potential victims that they will encounter little new in his latest amateur legal brief- his career of deliberate misquotation continues as it must, because he rivals Rush as a font of misinformation.
Poor brandoon. But he got off lighter than Greg Mann- Leaden.
The poor little pudge doesn’t look like he has ever been propositioned, by a woman:
Styne is so far beyond the minions he mentioned in both wit and PR ability it is really not a level playing field. It’s really not fair! We need the PC police to put a stop to this!
When I saw that I decided I had to come and read what you had to say. When the only attack is misogyny you know the woman is on to something.
I know eh?
The subject is racism, but perhaps it applies to climate science:
“I don’t believe you change hearts,” Mrs. Clinton says, summarizing her basic view of social policy movements. “I believe you change laws, you change allocation of resources, you change the way systems operate.”
“I think that what’s happening is Hillary Clinton’s saying, ‘We tried to change hearts, and it didn’t work.’ ”
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/20/us/politics/hillary-clinton-takes-on-civil-rights-generation-gap.html
When people don’t care much about saving energy or building renewables we can turn to laws to kind of make them care. The two short videos at the link show a candid Clinton. She talks about pointing out problems probably isn’t going to amount to much. A plan is needed.
brandumb strikes again
