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Comment on The conceits of consensus by Chris Golledge

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“There is no doubt in my mind that the literature on climate change overwhelmingly supports the hypothesis that climate change is caused by humans. I have very little reason to doubt that the consensus is indeed correct.”

-Richard Tol, Energy Policy 73, 701–705, 2014


Comment on The conceits of consensus by Michael

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Don Don,

You must at least find it interesting since you keep replying…

Comment on Will the President’s Clean Power Plan save consumers money? by ‘Green’ Power Myths Busted: Wind ‘Powered’ Danes & Germans Pay Europe’s Highest Power Prices By Far – STOP THESE THINGS

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[…] most interesting charts I’d seen for a while and wanted to write a post on it, but Dave Rutledge posting at Judith Curry beat me to […]

Comment on The conceits of consensus by Michael

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“To criticize C13 for what it doesn’t do might very well be suboptimal, Judy.” – Willard

Willard,

You fail to fully appreciate the blog-scientist methodology; blog-posts claiming flaws in climate science/reseearch are correct – no critical appraisal required.

Comment on The conceits of consensus by ...and Then There's Physics

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Page 8966 <blockquote> Excluding undetermined answers, 90% of respondents, with more than 10 self-declared climate- related peer-reviewed publications, agreed with dominant anthropogenic causation for recent global warming. This amounts to just under half of all respondents. </blockquote> I am impressed that Jose managed to avoid using <b>fraud</b> in the above comment. However, given this <a href="http://judithcurry.com/2015/08/27/the-conceits-of-consensus/#comment-728269" rel="nofollow">comment</a>, where there is not only an accusation of fraud, there is this <blockquote> You can’t trust any of the Cook or Verheggen crowd with consensus research. They will not be honest. They will not do real science. </blockquote> If I was Bart I would not respond to a single thing from Jose until he had either retracted this or proved it beyond a reasonable doubt. If it was me, Jose would have had an extremely strongly worded response to this type of claim, but I suspect Bart is a good deal politer and more reasonable than I am. To be quite clear, anyone who spends their time making accusations of fraud, and claims that others are dishonest, is probably a complete joke who should simply be ignored. I do find it quite disappointing that Judith is promoting this. Firstly, I'm not aware of any academic environment where such rhetoric is regarded as acceptable. You don't make such claims unless you can actually prove them to the satisfaction of the larger academic community. Jose is far from having done any such thing. Secondly, I don't think encouraging Jose in his crusade is doing him any favours. It's possible that Jose could make a positive contribution to this field, but - to date - he almost certainly has not done so, and if he carries on as he his, is unlikely to ever do so.

Comment on The conceits of consensus by Michael

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For someone claiming to be interested in science and research, Jose has an…err…curious take accuracy and professional behaviour.

Comment on Climate Change, Epistemic Trust, and Expert Trustworthiness by Punksta

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Given the corrupt state of the profession – eg continuing unrepentant attitude over Climategate and the ensuing coverups – rebuilding trust in climate science, requires rebuilding the climate science profession.

Is this even possible though, given that it is government-funded, and government has has such an obvious and huge vested interest in a finding of CAGW alarmism?

Comment on The conceits of consensus by Steven Mosher

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“To be quite clear, anyone who spends their time making accusations of fraud, and claims that others are dishonest, is probably a complete joke who should simply be ignored.”

“The McIntyre and McKitrick paper is pure scientific fraud. I think you’ll find this reinforced by just about any legitimate scientist in our field you discuss this with. To recap, I hope you don’t mention MM [McIntyre and McKitrick] at all. It really doesn’t deserve any additional publicity.”

True.


Comment on The conceits of consensus by climatereason

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Mosh

Not sure of your meaning. Are you saying the M and M paper is fraudulent or is it reinforcing the comment that those who shout fraud should be ignored?

Incidentally, A nobel prize awaits those who manage to prove malicious intent by the major suppliers of temperature data. All it needs is a peer reviewed paper by a sceptic, which shouldn’t be difficult to write if the ‘fraud’ is so obvious.

tonyb

Comment on JC’s conscience by Punksta

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JC Where does the intellectual and political diversity come from in the climate debate? Certainly not from academia

Because they’ll all funded from the same source; and which is by no stretch of the imagination is a disinterested observer.

Comment on Week in review – science edition by climatereason

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Nick

Yesterday we were discussing the accuracy of Dr Hansen’s 1988 prediction of temperature and the ‘pause.’ Here is the original Hansen 1988 document

http://climatechange.procon.org/sourcefiles/1988_Hansen_Senate_Testimony.pdf

and the scripps co2 data.

https://scripps.ucsd.edu/programs/keelingcurve/2015/02/12/is-the-rate-of-co2-growth-slowing-or-speeding-up/

In the 1988 paper, on page 48, Hansen seems to say quite clearly that scenario A is based on a continuation of the previous 20 years trend of co2 to 2020. The scripps data shows this was exceeded.

Hansen cites a reference 1 in his 1988 testimony relating to a giss 3D model of 1988. It is here. Unfortunately it is pay walled so only parts can be viewed

http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha02700w.html

In your 6.35 you linked to co2 data (from climate audit) which you said directly related to this 1988 paper.

As I am unable to view the original data for myself, you merely need to confirm your 6.35 was directly taken from the data used in hansen’s 1988 paper, that was complied at the time and comes directly from reference 1 (pay walled) and I will obviously accept this in good faith.

Can you confirm the climate audit material is identical and contemporary to the 1988 paper? Thanks

tonyb

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Punksta

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Solar panels in Africa.

While claiming economic viability, the article speaks of the need for “regulatory stability” – presumably a euphemism for ongoing political privilege (subsidies, impositions and restrictions on fossil, etc).

Making the economic viability claim a bogus one.

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Punksta

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Solar irrigation pumps in Bangladesh.

These now compete with diesel pumps, but are only made affordable by subsidy. However, article says diesel is also subsidised.

So, rather than remove or reduce the diesel subsidy, thereby reducing the government, they choose to add to it by creating a new bureaucracy for solar.

Well, at least the Bangladesh state is looking after the interests of the Bangladesh state then. Career bureaurocrats there can sleep well.

Comment on The conceits of consensus by Michael

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“I am impressed that Jose managed to avoid using fraud in the above comment.” – attp

To be fair, he did use it 43 times in one of his other posts.

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Michael Cunningham

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“Career bureaurocrats there can sleep well.” Not only in Bangla Desh, unfortunately, those public servants who genuinely seek policies which best serve the community are easily outmanoeuvered by those who follow an insider-outsider, you-scratch my back …, self-and-mates-serving path. The former tend not to be self-serving, the others have more skin in the game, know that the goodies are a threat, and scheme, manipulate and toady to ministers to ensure that they hold sway. And most ministers rarely resist any proposal which will enhance their own empire.


Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Michael Cunningham

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Similarly with Australia’s Choice, which started out as a straight-down-the-line consumer testing magazine then became social crusaders, later teaming up with the green left. Cancelled long ago.

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Michael Cunningham

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Casablanca in 1969 looked a bit boring. I took off early when I woke to find that the guy who’d given me a ride from Algeciras in Spain via the ferry to Ceuta was sound asleep with the door open and a revolver to hand (or to be picked up) by his bed. A recipe for disaster. I took the Marrakech Express while he slept on.

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Michael Cunningham

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Anti-Israeli distortions are, sadly, far worse than those promoting alleged CAGW. A poster to Haaretz complained that an article detailing this would never appear in the Western MSM. I was happy to advise that The Australian ran it as its top featured article, almost a full broadsheet page. But I doubt if any other media here would have picked it up.

Comment on Week in review – science edition by Nick Stokes

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Tony,
The data was posted at RealClimate by Gavin Schmidt some years ago, and Gavin believed that it was the data associated with the 1988 paper. I can confirm that the CA files are a copy of that posted data. Hansen was still head of GISS at the time, so I presume Gavin’s belief was based on word from Hansen. Unfortunately, I can’t now locate the RC reference.

Comment on The conceits of consensus by Bart Verheggen

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And that’s probably how many more respondents felt, that they weren’t comfortable with the categories as specified. So they would have to make a choice between category that came somewhat close to their personal estimate, or other, dunno, or unknown. Hence the large fraction of responses in those latter three categories.

This is not just mindreading, but based on comments from respondents and based on comparing the results of this question to those from Q3.

And that is why we thought it better to leave those latter three categories out, because its number is in all likelihood much higher than the numebr of respondents who are truly agnostic on the question of human GHG dominated warming.

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