Yes I do. Tooting people’s republic, eh… a Texan some years ago ask a London cabbie to take him to the BM to see the Tutankhamen but ended up on the Tooting common.
On more serious note we may get new labour London mayor now MP for Tooting, when the other resident comedian (the blond Turk) finally gives up.
Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by vukcevic
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by aplanningengineer
Timg56 (who I suspect was born the same year as me) give a good answer and as he says, just recent stuff. The last few decades would include the expanded adoption and improvement of the jet engine derived technology – which power CTs and combined cycle plants. No incentives, subsidies, mandates or targets needed.
Computer controlled power electronics have seen widespread adoption across meany applications (HVDV lines, statcoms, SVCs) . Faster, smarter and more selective protective devices. Innovations include much of the current clean technology. Nuclear technology has changed considerably and improved considerably. Emissions controls technology. Underground transmission conductors’as well as overhead wires. A compressed air energy storage plant was built in the U.S. Look up Kemper clean coal and you might see that sometimes utilities go too far with innovations. A lot of pretty amazing innovation and development. Just because new developments are not always cost effective enough to be used more widely, it does not mean it’s not being done.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by aplanningengineer
Sorry Jim2, you’ll have to read between the lines to see where I cal BS.
I think the innovations made by utilities rival what’s been done with computers. Someone wanting to be obtuse could say they are just faster, hold more info, have better interfaces and are more connected and omnipresent than in the 70s, but besides that what’s really improved all that much? Current generation plants are more efficient, less polluting,more reliable, more flexible and operate through better, smarter, more reliable interfaces but besides that-has all that much changed?
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by jeffnsails850
for your link collection:
http://shell.cas.usf.edu/~pspector/ORM/Bones-12.pdf
We Knew the Future All Along : Scientific Hypothesizing is Much More Accurate Than Other Forms of Precognition −−A Satire in One Part
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Comment on The Urgenda ruling in the Netherlands by David Springer
A court that can both create and negate laws usurps the legitimate powers of the legislature. Why have elected lawmakers if a court can make laws too? The court you describe is essentially a dictator who can tell lawmakers what laws to make. Makes no sense to me and likely not to anyone else who’s taken a university level political science class.
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Comment on The Urgenda ruling in the Netherlands by Science or Fiction
willard (@nevaudit) | September 13, 2015 at 7:31 pm |
“In theory, because his inference to the best explanation beats falsification.”
I would happy if you could provide a precise reference for that claim.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by erikemagnuson
Getting relative humidity down to 15% at 80F would probably take quite a bit more energy than producing 60% RH at 72F. 15% RH at 80F requires the Dew Point to be 29 to 30F (data from steam table), which would require some innovation in dehumidification. Other problem is that 15% RH is too dry for many people, with maybe 40% RH being the low end of the comfort zone.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by nickels
Yes, the elites believe that their system of managerial multiculturalism will create a harmonious society even with mass immigration. But they deny basic realities and their mindset is heavily delusional.
“But what limits the application of the concept of political religion to what is being described is its self-liquidating aspect. The multicultural ideology the Post-Marxists preach, as my book on multiculturalism argues, is a deconstructing venture, which subverts its own civilizational foundations. Above all, the emphasis placed on large-scale Third World immigration, as an ‘enriching’ experience for Westerners, makes it unlikely that those undertaking the multicultural experiment will preserve what the are building up.”
In other words, the elites are going down just like the rest of the West. In all their intelligence they are simply too dumb to realize it.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Joseph
And how much of the innovation was due to government regulation?
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Comment on The Urgenda ruling in the Netherlands by willard (@nevaudit)
> Karl Popper´s empirical method provides none of these 3 points.
Still it is a very valuable scientific method.
So far, we I have provided textual evidence that according to Popper, there’s no such thing as a scientific method and that his falsificationism was more a normative proposal (Big Dave ought to note that he even says metaphysical) than a descriptive claim. In other words, Popper states an epistemological condition more than a procedure scientists can follow. Condions a method does not a method make.
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> I would happy if you could provide a precise reference for that claim [inference to the best explanation beats falsification].
Start here:
A physicist decides to demonstrate the inaccuracy of a proposition; in order to deduce from this proposition the prediction of a phenomenon and institute the experiment which is to show whether this phenomenon is or is not produced, in order to interpret the results of this experiment and establish that the predicted phenomenon is not produced, he does not confine himself to making use of the proposition in question; he makes use also of a whole group of theories accepted by him as beyond dispute. The prediction of the phenomenon, whose nonproduction is to cut off debate, does not derive from the proposition challenged if taken by itself, but from the proposition at issue joined to that whole group of theories; if the predicted phenomenon is not produced, the only thing the experiment teaches us is that among the propositions used to predict the phenomenon and to establish whether it would be produced, there is at least one error; but where this error lies is just what it does not tell us. ([1914] 1954, 185)
http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/scientific-underdetermination/
In the end, holism wins.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Joseph
Another way to put it is what happens when regulations cause their profit margins to suffer? They try to become more efficient and innovative new technologies evolve to make processes more efficient.
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Comment on The Urgenda ruling in the Netherlands by willard (@nevaudit)
> Condions a method does not a method make.
That should be rewritten as <em>A condition does not a method make.</em>
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by ristvan
Tony, Florida permanent residence because no state income tax. But hardly ‘live there’. Spend more time in the Georgia Appalachian mountains, Chicago, or the hinterlands of Wisconsin. Spent the last 6 months of 2014 in Chicago/Wisconsin, for example.
Richard, my Fort Lauderdale beach is beautiful–but semi-private. Our rude drivers are mostly retirees from New York and New Jersey. They bring their attitude with them. Not only driving… And yes, the weather in Fort Lauderdale is ‘foul’ from mid May to mid October. ’90’s-90’s’. >90F, and >90% relative humidity, most every day. With thunderstorms almost every afternoon guaranteed. But, from October to May the compare/contrast to Chicago is quite something to behold. Now, a few winter weeks of hunting, country skiing and snowmobiling in Wisconsin suffices. Then back to the beach, the reef snorkeling, the surfing, the golf…and even more rude snowbirds.
BTW, Michigan is lovely. But the closest class 4 trout streams to Chicago are in the Wisconsin Uplands, half the drive time to upper Michigan. Hence the long ago choice based on a life long passion for fly fishing.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by climatereason
Rud
As a fly fisherman you will no doubt be horrified by the latest subsidised green madness to put a 190 ,000 panel solar farm right next to the world famous River Test.
This in an area with a paltry 1600 hours of sunshine
Tonyb
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by peter3172
Tony, I suspect that there’s only room for one deep-seated ideology in anyone’s life.
I think the only reason he wants to re-open the coal mines is because Thatcher shut them down.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by aplanningengineer
Innovation due to government regulation? I can’t imagine that it drives much of the innovations beyond emissions, environmental and alternative energy. Nuclear has been given some assistance recently but it’s suffered a lot of pushback regulation wise as well.
I don’t know if you have the impression that utilities earn a fixed rate of return so they sit back fat and happy – But that’s not the reality. Performance wise utilities are compared to each other as to cost, service and reliability. In many areas they compete for larger customers.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by dougbadgero
I live about 2 hours from Chicago in an area of Michigan that many people come for vacations. Western Michigan is a world apart from eastern Michigan, and it is really easy to find someplace secluded once you go North of Grand Rapids. The upper peninsula is yet another kind of paradise. Great state.
Winter is another matter though….”amusement park in the Summer, tundra in the Winter.”
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by scotts4sf
Go BLUE. Ann Harbough is a great college town and Michigan football won big yesterday.
A great place but cold in winter. A couple of extra degrees at night might not be so bad.
Scott
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Comment on The Urgenda ruling in the Netherlands by Science or Fiction
willard (@nevaudit) | September 13, 2015 at 7:31 pm |
Thank you for the link to the following paper, which seems to support my view. This time in support for the hypothetico-deductive method. The methodology proposed by Popper is commonly known as the hypothetico-deductive method.
Philosophy and the practice of Bayesian statistics Andrew Gelman∗ and Cosma Rohilla Shalizi
“A substantial school in the philosophy of science identifies Bayesian inference with inductive inference and even rationality as such, and seems to be strengthened by the rise and practical success of Bayesian statistics. We argue that the most successful forms of Bayesian statistics do not actually support that particular philosophy but rather accord much better with sophisticated forms of hypothetico-deductivism. We examine the actual role played by prior distributions in Bayesian models, and the crucial aspects of model checking and model revision, which fall outside the scope of Bayesian confirmation theory. We draw on the literature on the consistency of Bayesian updating and also on our experience of applied work in social science. Clarity about these matters should benefit not just philosophy of science, but also statistical practice. At best, the inductivist view has encouraged researchers to fit and compare models without checking them; at worst, theorists have actively discouraged practitioners from performing model checking because it does not fit into their framework.”
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“We fear that a philosophy of Bayesian statistics as subjective, inductive inference can encourage a complacency about picking or averaging over existing models rather than trying to falsify and go further. Likelihood and Bayesian inference are powerful, and with great power comes great responsibility. Complex models can and should be checked and falsified. This is how we can learn from our mistakes.»
Regarding holism vs Poppers method Wikipedia summarize this pretty well:
“Evidence contrary to a hypothesis is itself philosophically problematic. Such evidence is called a falsification of the hypothesis. However, under the theory of confirmation holism it is always possible to save a given hypothesis from falsification. This is so because any falsifying observation is embedded in a theoretical background, which can be modified in order to save the hypothesis. Popper acknowledged this but maintained that a critical approach respecting methodological rules that avoided such immunizing stratagems is conducive to the progress of science.”
Despite the philosophical questions raised, the hypothetico-deductive model remains perhaps the best understood theory of scientific method.»
So regarding your statement “In the end, holism wins.” –
I don´t think so. I think that a scientist should be very determined to track down and get rid of all flaws, errors and false assumptions. To try to save untenable system by appeal to confirmation holism is a loosing strategy.
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Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Peter Lang
Jim2,
At least we’re better off with a Conservative coalition government than with Labor who have turned hard Left and totally incompetent. Most of the party members are centre right to conservative, so they will not support Turnbull going too far out with his beliefs in: CAGW, carbon pricing, renewable energy, gay marriage, change Australia to a republic, and more.
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