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Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by You’re just fooling | Because, Science!


Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by Wagathon

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That’s great … about like official scientists getting away with –e.g., Jews are causing global warming!!!

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by Shayne

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Let’s also acknowledge that all these cognitive biases and conflicts of interest are at play in the grant review process at NIH and other agencies. I hope that someday the agencies will take steps to increase objectivity in evaluating grant applications, but I fear it’s more likely that generations of good scientists will be lost before that ever happens.

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by KenW

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Agree krmmtoday. Computers can dazzle you with speed but if you can’t understand exactly what they’re calculating they can also be powerful tools of delusion. To be sure of anything you need to run on at least two different machines using completely different code.

I wonder how much published work is nothing but artifacts of improperly used, or just plain buggy software.

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by RobP

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The hypothesis myopia is really just the legal approach taking over from the scientific – something which is being seen throughout society. Instead of falsifying hypothesis, data are collected which support the theory and doubt is cast onany confounding data.

This is exactly how a court case is argued between two lawyers and represents the real problem we are faced with in today’s society – everything is being considered from legalistic point of view and represents the “post-normal” thinking that things are true if people believe them (or rather, if you have convinced a “jury” about them).

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by Wagathon

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Climate change being a notable example, extremism has come to distinguish Left-right politics vis-a-vis science.

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by Craig Loehle

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On the one hand, everyone has a favorite theory which motivates a particular study. They want to test existing theory, try a new technique/instrument, use a bigger dataset than has been used before, develop their own theory, etc. I have no problem with this. The problem comes when desperation for success, sloppiness, or unwillingness to take no for an answer leads to data dredging, cherry picking, or failure to cite contrary data/literature.
Personally, I try to imagine how someone might make me look foolish, and make sure my work could withstand such an attempt. This is a good way to bring in the contrary points of view.

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by timg56

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I see you have a new box of crayons and are happily drawing squiggly lines.

Well, so long as you don’t scribble on the walls enjoy yourself.


Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by JCH

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by Don Monfort

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“To date it has been thought that melting of Antarctic ice sheet would contribute very little to future sea-level rise — just 4 to 5 centimetres at most.”

But with the Big Paris Soirres coming up, somebody had to come up with the ‘It’s way worse than we thought!’ scenario. Nobody but the Chicken Littles is going to pay attention to this crap.

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by JCH

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Yes, do keep coming up with ways to fool yourself.

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by Craig Loehle

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An additional source of problems is the positive results bias. If an experiment doesn’t turn out, there is no relationship between the expected variables, results don’t make sense, or they contradict the expected relationship, it is too easy to simply drop the project and not publish it. Furthermore, journals don’t like to see that the data is a cloud of points rather than a nice straight line, and thus it may get rejected. Yet a truly invalid theory will give exactly that type of result–no result, and such a result does provide information.

Comment on Conflicts of interest in climate science. Part II by nickels

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by JCH

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by captdallas2 0.8 +/- 0.3

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I am sure there has to be a great cartoon to go with this post :)


Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by JCH

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by AK

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<blockquote>By 2100 this would add up to 40 centimetres to sea levels, melt rate would continue to accelerate until 2300, and sea levels would continue to rise after that for thousands of years.</blockquote>For those who are metric-challenged: “<i>40 centimetres</i>” is 16 inches. In 85 years. Giving our civilization no time to adapt.

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by Don Monfort

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The science is settled! The science is settled! No, wait! It’s way worse than we thought, again!

And you clowns don’t understand why you aren’t able to scare folks.

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by rebelronin

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Science now fills the vacuum left by the Church as the secular Western societies have progressed
power breeds corruption
the High Priests begin to believe in the institution more than it’s purpose
making such arguments as 97% declare truth
and those that don’t believe are deniers that require excommunication

I was promised a jet pack and a moon vacation
not much different than a promise of paradise

Comment on How scientists fool themselves – and how they can stop by Fake Herzog

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