Quantcast
Channel: Comments for Climate Etc.
Viewing all 147842 articles
Browse latest View live

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by oz4caster

0
0

Jim D, I have noticed that too. However, if you compare the UAH and Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI), it shows several months lag time in the UAH response to strong El Nino events. So, it will be interesting to see what happens over the next several months.


Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by dougbadgero

0
0

I currently live in Southwest Lower Michigan and Winter lows are not routinely below 0F. It happens occasionally but it is not routine. I lost two cherry trees when temperature dropped to about -20F each night for about 2 weeks. The apple and pear trees were fine, but it killed the cherry trees. They can handle the occasional low spikes but not the persistently cold nights.

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by captdallas2 0.8 +/- 0.3

0
0

attp, “You’ll like this then.”

How does that change your personal estimate of TCR? I mean I have thought it was funny comparing a mismash “surface” to a fictitious “surface” all along. Heck, in another decade or two there might be some evidence of long term persistent warming suddenly materialize. Of course that is a guess. Hard to estimate scientific inertia.

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by GaryM

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by kim

0
0

Trumpa trumpets.
=============

Comment on Lukewarming by popesclimatetheory

0
0

Thank you. Not many read and think and comment in favor of anyone else’s theory.

My goal is to promote the study of Natural Climate Variability.
We do not have thermometer data that goes back far enough, but we have huge amounts of ice core and other proxy data. We can study and understand the important causes of the robust regular climate temperatures that have been recorded in the earth records.

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by kim

0
0

Yikes, centuries of agony and guilt or a Little Ice Age. Are there more than two doors?
=============

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by Steven Mosher

0
0

Near-surface and lower-tropospheric warming of the Arctic over the past 35 years is examined for several datasets. The new estimate for the near surface reported by Cowtan and Way in 2014 agrees reasonably well with the ERA-Interim reanalysis for this region. Both provide global averages with a little more warming over recent years than indicated by the widely used HadCRUT4 dataset, which has sparse coverage of the high Arctic. ERA-Interim is more sensitive than the Cowtan and Way estimate to the state of the underlying Arctic Ocean.

Observational coverage of the Arctic varies considerably over the period. Surface air-temperature data of identified types are generally fitted well by ERA-Interim, especially data from ice stations, which appear of excellent quality. ERA-Interim nevertheless has a warm wintertime bias over sea-ice. Mean fits vary in magnitude as coverage varies, but their overall changes are much smaller than analysed temperature changes. This is also largely the case for fits to data for the free troposphere. Much of the information on trends and low-frequency variability provided by ERA-Interim comes from its background forecast, which carries forward information assimilated from a rich variety of earlier observations, rather than from its analysis of surface air-temperature observations.


Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by Steven Mosher

0
0

“Near-surface and lower-tropospheric warming of the Arctic over the past 35 years is examined for several datasets. The new estimate for the near surface reported by Cowtan and Way in 2014 agrees reasonably well with the ERA-Interim reanalysis for this region. Both provide global averages with a little more warming over recent years than indicated by the widely used HadCRUT4 dataset, which has sparse coverage of the high Arctic. ERA-Interim is more sensitive than the Cowtan and Way estimate to the state of the underlying Arctic Ocean.

Observational coverage of the Arctic varies considerably over the period. Surface air-temperature data of identified types are generally fitted well by ERA-Interim, especially data from ice stations, which appear of excellent quality. ERA-Interim nevertheless has a warm wintertime bias over sea-ice. Mean fits vary in magnitude as coverage varies, but their overall changes are much smaller than analysed temperature changes. This is also largely the case for fits to data for the free troposphere. Much of the information on trends and low-frequency variability provided by ERA-Interim comes from its background forecast, which carries forward information assimilated from a rich variety of earlier observations, rather than from its analysis of surface air-temperature observations.”

Comment on Lukewarming by kim

0
0

I love Alex’s theory. I can’t believe the climate is so simple, then I stop and strop.
===============

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by Don Monfort

0
0

Isn’t the hiatus the reality from which the model projections have diverged?

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by Steven Mosher

0
0

David

“On reflection, Mosher, I hope that this “hold out” analysis is based on the actual data, not the continuous field values, because the global field approach creates an enormous amount of false homogenization.”

1. of course it is Actual data.
2. Even better its NEW DATA recently recovered.
3. you have ZERO idea about what homogenization does

“For a simple example, suppose you have two actual measurements, at two points some distance away, On is 10 and the other is 20, which are significantly different. If you then draw a straight line from one to the other and impute the temperature at each intermediate point based on that line, then all of these points will have a smaller variance than the real points,. In many cases the variance will be very much smaller. As I understand it, this is basically what BEST does.”

1. ERR NO that’s not what we do.

“Then too a lot of the temperature adjustments, in all of the statistical temperature models, seem to be a matter of imposing homogenization on the real points, where none actually exists. I have never seen two local records that were identical. Most are very different, thus making the variance large”

Again, you don’t understand what you are talking about.
There is no imposition of homogenization on the real points.

Local records that are the same ? what are you jabbering about

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by mosomoso

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Mike Flynn

0
0

nebakhet,

You may have noticed the surface has cooled since it was molten.

CO2 levels have also dropped. Are you really prepared to believe that falling CO2 levels cooled the surface, or do big molten blobs of rock manage to cool all by themselves?

The Moon, as just one example, managed to cool without any appreciable atmosphere at all. The surface also heats up more quickly, and to higher temperatures, than the Earth’s, in sunlight. No atmosphere, no impediment to insolation. Higher surface temperature.

So would wrappIng the Moon with CO2 cool it to Earthlike surface temperatures? Of course it would! You’ve just got it backwards, like all foolish Warmists who deny physics!

Cheers.

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by timg56

0
0

Don,

While it might possibly not be long, it sure sounds happy.

I wonder if a putz like Josh has ever been happy.


Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by Faustino aka Genghis Cunn

0
0

Priorities for the African continent: … the resounding consensus was that strategies for poverty reduction and inequality must be redirected, with a focus on energy, industrialization, integration and job creation. “If Africa is to transform, we need reforms to take advantage of opportunities lying in external factors, with emphasis on human capital and industrialization,” said the UN’s Lopes.

What about a focus on the rule of law, property rights, the removal of kleptocracy and changes of government not involving drawn-out civil wars?

If you want the investment needed for the objectives listed, you must first have a reasonably settled society with little in the way of arbitrary decision-making and property seizure.

Comment on Hiatus controversy: show me the data by Tucci78

0
0
Writes Dr. <b>Glassman</b>: <blockquote><i>Publish or Perish is easy; predicting the future is hard. Climatology is easy; science is hard.</i></blockquote> Pardon me for this <i>"mirabile dictu"</i> moment, but I've been dining out - so to speak - on your <a href="http://library.crossfit.com/free/pdf/64_07_Conjecture_to_Law.pdf" rel="nofollow"><b>“Conjecture, Hypothesis, Theory, Law: The Basis of Rational Argument”</b></a> (2007) for some several years now. Your essay provides a pikestaff-plain approach to <i>"An understanding of the validity of science and scientific criticism,"</i> and its value has not diminished in the interval since you'd published it. I've yet to encounter a <i>warmista</i> who doesn't retreat in shock and dismay from your concluding paragraphs. <blockquote><blockquote><b><i>"When in the course of human events somebody does something that puts somebody else to the trouble of adjusting the numb routine of his life, the adjustee is resentful. The richer he is and the more satisfactory he considers his life, the more resentful he is at any change, however minute. And of all the changes which offend people, changes which require them to think are most disliked."</i></b> <blockquote>-- Murray Lienster, <i>The Pirates of Ersatz</i>, March 1959</blockquote></blockquote></blockquote>

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by timg56

0
0

I believe it was Khrushchev who said that.

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by timg56

0
0

Alexander, more like a frustrated wanna be novelist.

Comment on Week in review – energy and policy edition by aaron

Viewing all 147842 articles
Browse latest View live




Latest Images