If the US military waged all-out war, ISIS would be less than JV.
Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by JCH
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by Peter M Davies
In praise of intellectual uncertainty item has this comment: ” If we want people prepared for the work of life and of living together, we should encourage lessons in the art of skepticism. When searching for solid answers, the best place to start is with solid questions.”
Scepticism IMO is simply the development of an independant thinking capability. We need to follow our own thought train and not hitch ourselves to other peoples’, because influence and popularism are too often the product of MSM and not of rational concensus of opinion.
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by Joseph
This from the article: “The “Global War on Terror” is over, President Barack Obama announced Thursday, saying the military and intelligence agencies will not wage war against a tactic but will instead focus on a specific group of networks determined to destroy the U.S.”
He didn’t say we were going to stop confronting and trying to eliminate Al Qaeda. The whole “war on terror” concept was flawed from the beginning, because if you are going to declare war on terrorism as a tactic, the war would never end. Did you even read the article.
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by Joseph
PA, if you call that “surrender” you are dumber than I thought.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by omanuel
It has been difficult convincing the public of climate models here on Earth, but
today Smithsonian’s Dr. Kenneth M. Towe claimed “Solar eruptions are 100% predictable“.
https://www.researchgate.net/post/Is_there_convincing_evidence_of_AGW#view=5648f4566225ffef5c8b45c0
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by brentns1
Crispin Tickell
The man who ‘invented’ Global Warming
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100069775/the-man-who-invented-global-warming/
Son: Oliver Tickell
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by jim2
I feel sorry for you, Joseph, that you feel you have to carry water for Obumbles. It’s militant Islam that’s the enemy here. He won’t say that, though. Islam is certainly NOT a tactic!!!
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by JCH
The first terrorist to be identified is an Algerian, which is no surprise if you know much about the history of Algeria and France.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by jim2
MWG – thank you for the article on kriging and the “nugget” effect. Also, thanks for the clear explanation that had heretofore been missing from this thread.
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by jim2
From the article:
“Religion in Algeria is dominated by Muslims at about ninety-nine percent of the population.”
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by mwgrant
jim2
My pleasure. I’m glad it was a help.
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by JCH
You think you are going to tell me something about Algeria? Haha.
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by brentns1
Prince Charles Blames Syria Civil War on…Global Warming
http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/10/31/prince-charles-blames-syria-civil-war-on-global-warming/
“The market system is not functional,” insisted the chairman, Sir Crispin Tickell, incidentally, one of Prince Charles’ most trusted advisers
http://www.africaclimatesolution.org/news.php?id=6370
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by justinwonder
The Onion…add seek funding …scientific method…
Entertaining article about energy:
http://www.theonion.com/article/nation-figured-everything-would-run-some-kind-cube-51834
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by timg56
I second jim2’s thanks, Mr Grant.
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by Don Monfort
So what is your point? The Algerian owed the French some payback bloodletting? He wasn’t born at the time of the Algerian war and his parents may well have been on the French side. You do know that the smart Algerians wanted to remain connected to France and fought the rebels. We often wonder whose side you are on.
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by PA
Joseph | November 15, 2015 at 6:54 pm |
PA, if you call that “surrender” you are dumber than I thought.
People on the left have this really goofy viewpoint on terrorism that inhibits any discussion of the subject.
They believe terrorist are criminals that can be handled by police action.
No matter how many times this fails they will keep claiming it is true.
The attempts to try terrorists in the US have on the whole been a joke.
Unlawful combatants captured by the military are war criminals, and should be treated like it. Just hold a court martial and hang them or return them if there isn’t enough evidence.
Soetoro is sort of right about the “global war on terror” which has been about as successful as the “war on drugs”. However after that he goes back to his usual incoherent policy mumblings and goes off into the ditch again.
He really wants to treat terrorism as a police problem and try them as common criminals in civilian court and that is really pretty clueless. I guess that container-ship load of clues hasn’t arrived yet.
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Comment on Week in review – politics and policy edition by JCH
My son is 30, and he was in grade school during the Algerian civil war.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Willis Eschenbach
mwgrant | November 15, 2015 at 6:22 pm |
PA and TE
Regarding the BEST correlation function. Here is a graphic from the current methodology appendix:
Thanks, MW. There are a couple of problems with your graphic. Here’s an expanded version:
First, all the colored lines stop at an inter-station distance of 100 km. They go nowhere near the y-axis where the station separation is zero. This makes sense because the lines are smoothed, and there are only a few stations closer than 50 km apart in your graphic. I only find less than two dozen station pairs that are less than 50 km apart. (That in itself seems quite strange, since in the US at least there are lots of stations closer together than that.)
But the black line goes all the way to zero … how you do dat?
It is identified as a “model fit” … but it is not a fit, it is the extrapolation of a model beyond of the data to the zero line. And there is only one single dot at zero distance, which is strange in itself since there are often two stations at the same location or quite close with some overlap, not just one out of 30,000.
Next, the idea that your value for where your imaginary black line based on some model or other hits the y-axis is accurate to three decimal points is a joke.
Next, regarding your model, it goes straight level starting at 3,000 km, while the data does nothing of the sort. Bad model, no cookies.
Finally, you say:
Note to willis: The correlation function is required for kriging and hence is determined before kriging.
It’s not clear what you mean by the “correlation function”. Is it the “model fit” that you refer to above?
In short, I see no scientific justification for extending your analysis from the 100 km distance where your colored lines stop, on out past where the data ends, and all the way out to the y-axis. At least in this graphic, you have nowhere near enough data to extend your results to the y-axis.
My best to you,
w.
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Comment on Week in review – science edition by Peter Lang
Thank you Judith, David Wojick, HaroldW and Nobodyknows for your responses. I am much better informed now. And I am grateful to Judith and all for warning me I’d got it wrong on my understanding of the central estimate of ECS from the GCMs. I now understand the best central estimate, from the widely cited and accepted as authoritative source, IPCC AR5, is:
Model mean is 3.2°C +/- 1.3°C, Table 9.5, https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Chapter09_FINAL.pdf
I’ve now submitted my revised article, so hopefully it will get published before the Paris UN Climate meeting, and all the delegates will be persuaded :)
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