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Comment on Argument and authority in the climate fight by Chief Hydrologist

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Our ‘interest is to understand – first the natural variability of climate – and then take it from there. So we were very excited when we realized a lot of changes in the past century from warmer to cooler and then back to warmer were all natural,’ Anastasios Tsonis, of the Atmospheric Sciences Group at University of Wisconsin

Science informs – it is just that numbnut is too dumb to listen. Here is a graph (Swanson et al 2009 16120–16130 _ PNAS _ September 22, 2009 _ vol. 106 _ no. 38) showing natural internal variability from oceans against a monotonic residual warming signal.
http://s1114.photobucket.com/albums/k538/Chief_Hydrologist/?action=view&current=MONOTONIC.gif

There are 3 implications in this.

1. The residual trend is nowhere near 0.17 degrees C/decade.
2. If you look beyond 2000 – we are in a 20 to 40 year cool phase.
3. There is no possibility that 20th century variability is the limit of natural variability.

This hit me like a tonne of bricks in 2003 – and I have been called a denier by know nothing little dipsh… with their appeals to groupthink ever since.

There is a difference between an appeal to authority – interpreting science narrowly in a (pissant progressive) political context – and an honest, wide ranging and sceptical (in the true sense) love of natural philoshpy.

Disband the IPCC – it is a massive failure – and let theories compete in the ideas marketplace.

Robert I Ellison
Chief Hydrologist


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