Don Aitkin
(we in Australia are supposed to be having El Nino droughts, rather than extensive flooding)
Could you give me a reference for this statement. I am not aware of any climate scientist who has claimed that ENSO will move into a permanent El Nino phase. My impression was that the mainstream theory was that the cycle would continue but that La Ninas would be warmer and wetter (in Australia) and El Ninos would be hotter and drier.