Steven Mosher | May 25, 2012 at 1:05 pm
Climate modelling is a boundary condition problem.
I keep reading this, but what I have never been able to get from any proponent of the idea is a complete list of what you call the “boundary conditions”. I mean it’s obvious that energy in must equal energy out … but as the existence of the “greenhouse effect” clearly demonstrates, the surface temperature is obviously not constrained by TOA energy balance.
So your claim desperately needs backup in the form of a list of all of the “boundary conditions” you are referring to, and an estimate of the values of those conditions over the 21st century. Without that, the “boundary conditions” claim is just a modeler’s security blanket.
I’ll wait for your answer … unfortunately, if your claim is like the other times I’ve asked about this, the boundary condition on how long I’ll wait for an answer may involve the temperature in the place of eternal perdition …
w.