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Comment on Hiding the Decline: Part II by John Carpenter

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The sky is falling! The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

Jeff, you seem to imply that weather events are evidence of AGW. How often in past years have we heard that weather is not climate by alarmists when it behaves in ways that does not support AGW but then when it does, all of the sudden it is exactly what AGW models predicted? With the recent harsh winters here in the NE USA (and many other places in the NH), most common folk who do not follow the details of climate science are forming opinions that AGW is more hype than reality. This, of course, is cause for great concern among the alarmists who see their agenda losing traction. So now stories begin to appear that snowier, colder winters are also exactly what AGW models predicted and are in complete alignment with the theory!

Herein lies a big problem for AGW. If every type of weather event that may occur in the future has been predicted by GCMs (coincidently all the same weather events that have occurred regularly in the past) and are thus considered further evidence that AGW is real, what type of weather should we expect that could falsify the theory? If the theory cannot be falsified, it is not legitimate, is it not? How would Dr. Hanson square with that question as you seem to be student of his theories?


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