<i>But we have Smith et al, Science, August 2007, where we are now within the prediciton time frame. They predicted temperatures would be flat until 2009, when temperatures would then start to rise rapidly. ...</i>
What they said is half of the years after 2009 would exceed 1998, and that 2014 would exceed 1998 by a specific range. I do not think they used the "rise rapidly."
<a href="http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/367/1890/925.full" rel="nofollow">Smith et al update, figure 1</a>
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