Comment on Week in Review 12/16/11 by Jim D
Yes, let’s just all stop making predictions and let what happens surprise us instead. Good plan.
View ArticleComment on Week in Review 12/16/11 by P.E.
Because all those people who saw the housing crackup coming did us so much good, huh?
View ArticleComment on Week in Review 12/16/11 by Don Monfort
You can make all the predictions you want jimmy. You can even pretend they will very likely match the future reality. But it ain’t getting you any closer to your goal of screwing up the world’s economy.
View ArticleComment on Week in Review 12/16/11 by Captain Dallas (Fish Beware!)
http://compare.ebay.com/like/310321940060?var=lv<yp=AllFixedPriceItemTypes&var=sbar&_lwgsi=y I was think about that but opted for the Elvis toaster instead.
View ArticleComment on Week in Review 12/16/11 by P.E.
When I was a kid I used to wonder about what kind of an active imagination it took to see goats and lions and bears in a half dozen start. The constellations never made any sense to me. Reminds me of...
View ArticleComment on Another IPCC error: cloud albedo forcing by Philip
Richard, There is no conspiracy. The IPCC tries to construct a plausible scientific story that supports the idea of anthropogenic warming, and in part this requires the diminishment of the role of...
View ArticleComment on Hegerl et al. react to the Uncertainty Monster paper by tempterrain
Max, What might “sound quite reasonable” to you is neither here nor there. There’s no hypothesising what Judith has said. You obviously didn’t notice that my post consisted of 8 questions. You can know...
View ArticleComment on Hegerl et al. react to the Uncertainty Monster paper by tempterrain
Judith saying that there it is very likely that more than 30% of the warming is due to anthropogenic GHG concentrations is rather like an economist saying that it is very likely that the US national...
View ArticleComment on Hegerl et al. react to the Uncertainty Monster paper by tempterrain
AJStrata, Good point about “Consider the quality of uncertainty required to KNOW how long you have from detecting a problem …….. Think about the trade here (lives on the ground versus the lives of the...
View ArticleComment on Hegerl et al. react to the Uncertainty Monster paper by lurker
tt, “hide the decline” means “fudge the data” and you can dance around that until the Arctic refreezes, but it is what it is. “The team”, are, as they like to point out, the smartest guys in the room....
View ArticleComment on Week in Review 12/16/11 by Captain Dallas (Fish Beware!)
Bob said, “I meant the post 1950 cooling being due to anthropogenic aerosols rather than volcanic.” That is what I fine hard to accept, that post 1950 aerosols would cause the cooling until circa 1979....
View ArticleComment on Hegerl et al. react to the Uncertainty Monster paper by Don Monfort
“Similarly, we should consider how long we have from detecting a problem with the atmosphere to being able to fix it. In a sense, we, and our descendants, are all the crew and lives are at stake. A...
View ArticleComment on Hegerl et al. react to the Uncertainty Monster paper by Don Monfort
Another silly analogy from the Judith haters. We know what the national debt, to the penny. Not hard to make a statement on that with high level of confidence. Try something else.
View ArticleComment on A biologist’s perspective on ice ages and climate sensitivity:...
I don’t apologize to Thomas Gold for his stupid theory on abiotic oil. To understand why people believe weird things, you have to confront the mentality of those scientists with the seeming highest...
View ArticleComment on A biologist’s perspective on ice ages and climate sensitivity:...
Herman: the primary evidence is the correspondence between summer insolation in the northern hemisphere (as calculated from the Milankovich cycles) and the oxygen isotope record from deep-sea sediment...
View ArticleComment on A biologist’s perspective on ice ages and climate sensitivity:...
LeftTurn and David: Milankovich-type cycles must indeed be as old as the earth, but the further back one goes in time the more uncertainty creeps into the calculations. There is after all some error in...
View ArticleComment on A better climate for disaster risk management by Steve Milesworthy
This seems to be looking for a moral justification for persuading the rich countries to pay for adaptation in poorer countries. But in practice, for many projects the distinction between the risks of...
View ArticleComment on A better climate for disaster risk management by Steve Milesworthy
“Climate information that can be acted upon is best created in dialogue between the users and providers, and partnerships between climate scientists and disaster risk managers should promote knowledge...
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