Comment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by incandecentbulb
Every movement and way of thinking and acting that takes on enough gravity to be named will ultimately be analyzed based on ‘trends, change points & hypotheses’ but only after-the-fact by...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Paul S
This model which turned out to have a lower sensitivity was developed around 1997 I think. If you read one of the Hansen 1997 papers he talks about using a new model with a lower sensitivity. Before...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Girma
Vaughan Pratt Check back here in a decade to see who was right. How about having a bet with me? I say the current global mean temperature record for 1998 for hadcrut3 will not be exceeded in the next...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Comment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by capt. dallas
billc, you are such a rebel I was thinking a comparison of II to III would be a good approach. You are still going to end up with a range of about 0.52 to 5.2 by latitude with a mean of about 1.48 C....
View ArticleComment on Letter to the dragon slayers by Andrew Skolnick
Get over yourself Cotton. No one wants to bother anymore talking to a delusional wall.
View ArticleClik here to view.
Comment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Paul S
Why don’t you say that the IPCC changed its prediction from 0.3C per decade to 0.2C per decade in 1995 [which it did] when it realised its estimation of climate sensitivity [among other things] was too...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by capt. dallas
Web said,”There only way that the earth can exchange energy with the external system is through radiative energy transfer.” Very true. You are looking into the diffusion rate into the deep oceans, at...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by hunter
The believers cannot stand having the tenets of their faith challenged. Chris, as we see, likes to call those who point out problems in his faith, ‘liar’. For AGW believers to be so allegedly obsessed...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by hunter
Chris is now deploying the AGW wack-a-mole defense: When things are going the way believers want, the IPCC is the paragon of climate science and those who dispute that are denialist scum. When the IPCC...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by hunter
GaryM, Shhhhh! Pointing out the trivial incredibly dubious nature of what AGW is built on is not fair.
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by incandecentbulb
It is interesting he would quote Mug Wump – ‘AGW is nothing but a hoax,’ thread on Amazon because that thread in immortalized on Board Reader as more emblematic of censorship. For Example, you see on...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by billc
Capt and others – in all seriousness, what are the high-level physical phenomena by which the difference between hypothesis II and III would manifest itself? Oceanic regime changes leading to large...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Comment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by capt. dallas
What is more fun is that starting in 1998 or 2000 is not longer cherry picking, it is comparative analysis woohoo! its got a fancy name and everything!
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by billc
wtf. that’s not very daring. I say the current global mean temperature record for 1998 for UAH will not be exceeded before 2020. why UAH? because HadCrut3 is not going to be updated. it’s moved to #4...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Joshua
A question for hypothesis IIIers, External forcing (AGW, solar) will have more or less impact on trends depending on the regime, but how external forcing materializes in terms of surface temperature in...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by thomaswfuller2
There are many trends found in nature and the works of man that have the characteristics described for temperature. They are sine waves of varying amplitudes with sawtooth irregularities. Should the...
View ArticleComment on Consensus or not (?) by climatereason
Harold Great to see you here. Recently I exended CET back to 1538 in this article. http://judithcurry.com/2011/12/01/the-long-slow-thaw/ I also wrote an article in which I only half jokingly suggested...
View ArticleComment on Consensus or not (?) by Joshua
One reason for the disproportionate power of English in the master narrative is the simple fact that the longest continuous record of temperature anywhere on Earth comes from England. ? English is the...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Fred Moolten
Steve Mosher – Ordinarily I wouldn’t add to the excessive column space already devoted to this not very important point, but since you addressed your comment to me, I’ll respond. Chris Ho-Stuart is...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Ged
A very sensible idea. And all scientists must always be open to alternative hypotheses and explanations of the data, as this post illustrates. The more time goes on, the less confident we are in the...
View Article