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Comment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by capt. dallas

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Chris Ho,

I thought the discussion was on whether H I will be falsified and if H II and H III might be worth consideration.

Since the projections are based on the models simulations that indicate approximately 0.2 C per decade, the error in the models in the Antarctic and tropics appear to be higher than observation, and the trend in the tropics since 1994 is only 0.04C per decade, it appears likely that H I will be falsified. Perhaps a better look at the observations will help,

http://redneckphysics.blogspot.com/2012/02/models-versus-observations.html

Of course, more high northern latitude stations could be added to the surface temperature records to postpone falsification, but without adjustment I doubt it will not be falsified.


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