Girma – you reproduced almost a third of Voosen’s article on provoked scientists trying to explain the lag in global warming and then trotted out the same HadCRUT3 graph I analyzed for you before. It does not explain any hiatus and neither do any of the scientists referred to in the article. Underlying their attempts to explain the warming hiatus is the belief that carbon dioxide is warming the climate and there is no warming now only because various nefarious natural processes are preventing it from doing its job. But once these interlopers step aside they are sure that carbon dioxide will be released from bondage and we can be assured that warming will return. One of these guys even hedges his bets by saying that it is not enough to wait ten years, wait seventeen years before you can say that you can’t see any warming. I don’t know why that dope thinks seventeen means anything but I suspect he does not have much hope for what the others have suggested. Looking through the suggestions in the article some are obviously wrong on the face of it. That includes any suggestion that volcanic eruptions, large or small, can cause any global cooling, especially cooling that lasts ten or more years. Hot volcanic aerosols always ascend into the stratosphere which warms at first but in a couple of years this warming turns into cooling. But that cooling never reaches the troposphere because the stratosphere and the troposphere are thermally decoupled. See pages 17 to 21 in my book. Their next problem is not understanding the El Nino and La Nina phenomena. In my previous post I explained it to you but here they go, claiming that the years stacked near the end of the hiatus period saw an unusual number of La Ninas. They can’t get it into their thick heads that El Nino and La Nina alternate. And then they trot out the old air pollution myth. There was no warming in the fifties, sixties and seventies so they invented an aerosol blanket that supposedly kept the increasing carbon dioxide from doing its job for thirty years. But then Hansen introduced a new GISS method for measuring global temperature rise, the aerosol blanket miraculously disappeared, and temperature in the eighties and nineties rose. Unfortunately that temperature rise was bogus – see figures 24 and 27 in my book. I was able to determine that thanks to the existence of satellite temperature records. And another quixotic quest they have taken up is searching for that missing energy. It all started when Trenberth and Fasullo published an article in Science in 2010 about the global energy budget. They showed a graph where all was well until 2004 when energy started to disappear. By 2008 eighty percent of it was missing. The graph was entitled “Where does the energy go?” I looked at it and then read from the text that: “Since 2004, ~3000 Argo floats have provided regular temperature soundings of the upper 2000 m of of the ocean, giving new confidence in the ocean heat content assessment –” Now what do you know, new equipment goes on line and energy does a disappearing act! If I had been the reviewer I would have sent him back checking those floats until the problem was resolved. But that was not done and now we keep hearing about these mysterious energy losses. All in all, that article by Paul Voosen you chose to cast upon us has no worthwhile science in it.
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