I am glad to see that my review has generated so much discussion:
http://www.bukisa.com/articles/448289_a-review-of-future-babble-why-expert-predictions-fail-and-why-we-believe-them-anyway
I would encourage people to read the book and watch Tetlock’s video. They explain their ideas much better than any review can.
I fear that many people will choose to see the hedgehog/fox metaphor as a way to justify their preconceived ideas and attack the people they disagree with. Some of the comments above come across as “I’m a Fox and you’re a Hedgehog, so there fore I’m right.”
I suspect that a real fox would be somewhat uncertain about whether or not he was a fox. I would guess that a hedgehog would be quicker to claim foxhood.
I did write a short story about global warming.
http://www.authspot.com/Short-Stories/The-Parasol.587225