Comment on Nullius in Verba by Chief Hydrologist
Smile when you say that pardner – it’s a shibboleth. Then again – it was you I ws teferring to as self taugh – and the teacher is a moron. You bring T&G here and expect that it is either new or...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Girma
Max Could you please explain the following calculation of your? Let’s say IPCC projected warming of 0.2C per decade for the first decades of the new century. This is a projection of 0.4°C warming over...
View ArticleComment on Consensus or not (?) by DirkH
Now that the consensus is broken you don’t want your consensus anymore? Unfortunately, You made it; You OWN it. And I will keep calling the IPCC consensus climate scientists the IPCC consensus climate...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Girma
Max How about doing it like this. There was no warming in the first decade of the 21st century. (http://bit.ly/yeqsz0 ) For IPCC’s projection of 0.2 deg C per decade to be correct, at the end of the...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Chief Hydrologist
@webby I said I would be friends. We have been fitting floods to pdf’s for a long time. It is a similar process. It is used for calculating 1,000 or 10,000 year floods – where data doesn’t exist. You...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Markus Fitzhenry
“”but in the real world in can bite you hard on the bum.”" Ouch!
View ArticleComment on Nullius in Verba by Jim Cripwell
ceteris non paribus makes this ridiculous claim “ceteris non paribus | February 10, 2012 at 1:58 pm | Jim Cripwell, On the one hand we have the Royal Society, and all the other national and...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Chris Ho-Stuart
If I may chip in, again… Girma, your intuition that the trend for 2000-2020 is unlikely to be as high as 0.2 C/decade is sound. I agree it is unlikely to be that high. It’s just that giving a formal...
View ArticleComment on Nullius in Verba by Peter317
So we either abandon any hope of rational discussion on any subject, or we assume people’s views are reached at through reason until we have actual evidence to the contrary. Yes, but we don’t bet the...
View ArticleComment on Nullius in Verba by Peter317
Holly, have you ever wondered why the only deluded people around are those who disagree with your viewpoint? Do you actually understand what this particular thread is all about?
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by JCH
Why are you doing your figuring with HadCRUTCH3? We are on a planet not measured by HadCRUTCH3. The region measured by HadCRUTCH3 is of little interest. Use GisTemp.
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Chris Ho-Stuart
JCH, I am inclined to agree that HadCrut3 is not quite as good; but you don’t get a whole heck of a lot of difference with GISS. My spreadsheet uses both, plus the NCDC series, plus the two satellite...
View ArticleComment on Nullius in Verba by cui bono
Jim, (1) and (2) seem to be generally estimated at ~ 1.1C, with general agreement (maybe +- 50%)? (3) is the real bugbear. Just take the figure from (1) and (2) and multiply by 3. This seems to have...
View ArticleComment on Nullius in Verba by Martha
Curry, Montford and Lindzen’s nostalgia for a concept of truth and independence that they believe is captured in the history of the Society is touching at some level, but amounts to mythmaking. There...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Girma
Chris The temperature trend over the last 40 years has been about 0.16 C/decade. This 0.16 deg C per decade is a cyclic warming rate, as there was the same warming rate from 1910 to 1940. The only...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Chris Ho-Stuart
Anteros, I’m sorry I missed your question to me about Hansen’s thoughts on long term sensitivity. The distinction he draws between slow and fast feedbacks is fine and serves as a widely recognizable...
View ArticleComment on Trends, change points & hypotheses by Chris Ho-Stuart
Vaughan, the equilibrium sensitivity is not used to project temperatures to 2100; for the reason you mention. We don’t expect 2100 to be in equilibrium. To see the IPCC projections to 2100, refer to...
View ArticleComment on Nullius in Verba by Steve Milesworthy
I listened to the Q&A and didn’t hear any “dismissing” of climate sceptics. So unless there was another bit I missed it sounds like there is some poisoning of the well going on here. May *did*...
View ArticleComment on Week in review 2/11/12 by Markus Fitzhenry
“Peter317 | February 12, 2012 at 6:49 am | You appear to be assuming that ‘natural’ deviations are always in the direction of cooling. Besides which, once any particular event has happened, its...
View ArticleComment on Nullius in Verba by Peter317
…the media preference for dissident views… He’s evidently never heard of the BBC, the Guardian, the Times, amongst many others, then.
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